ALERT: Hurricane Isidore forecasted to have at least 150 MPH winds within 72 hours

[newsperson999]

Aircraft will be in the storm at 6z about 90 minutes

[dennis1x]

cool....ill go with 937mb, 135mph

[newsperson999]

Both the new runs of the AVN and GDFL..take the storm WSW..then move it almost due north..the AVN develops another tropcial system off the east coast of FL/GA by WEDS..so we could have 2 systems to worry about..

[dennis1x]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/tropical_cyclones/tc02/ATL/10L.ISIDORE/ssmi/ir1km_bw/20020922.0500.goes-10.ir_bw.x.10LISIDORE.110kts-946mb-222N-864W.jpg

[newsperson999]

ok pressure down to 937 MB winds still 125..although I suspect that they are keeping the winds lower until the recon can fly around to find max winds..the plane just arrived......

[dennis1x]

this storms winds have been behind the pressure for the last couple days....125 was a little high based on what the flights were seeing today....probably keeping it down to catch up. i think its only a matter of time though until the winds go up in relation to the pressure falls and we see a cat4. if upper level winds stay as good as they are now we may see a historic storm in 2 days once it clears the only negative factor for strengthening (Yucatan).

[newsperson999]

Latest AVN model has it making landfall 80-100 miles south of Browsville Tx in 120 hours(5 days).....of course this will change

[Cloud William]

When a hurricane gets really strong it develops an outer eye in addition to the inner eye (called eye wall replacement). during this time the hurricane is not strengthening. as the outer wall contracts and if the hurricane is to strenghten the concentric structure wont be there. at its strongest there will be one and only one precipitation void with a solid eye wall (heavy precipitation around it.

Do a quick search for the Hurricane Hunters website (Keesler AFB). IIRC, they have radar pics of Hurricane Juliet (Juliette?) from Sept. 2001 which show three concentric eyewalls.

[NautiNurse]

0847Z 935 mb wind 125 mph. Sat shows a razor close shave West along the north Yucatan coast.

Satellite Loop (small)

[Bad~Rodeo]

Oh relax, i'm just joking with you. Noone is safe from these damn things, regardless how far inland you live.

[NautiNurse]

Here we go...wow!

1031Z Flt Level winds up to 140 mph. 935 MB
Eyewall enlarged to C19 Closed

[Bad~Rodeo]

!!!YIKES!!!, I still think that weak cold front that pushed through Central Texas on Friday will keep ol' Izzy south

[2sheep]

Dream of Hurricane Isidore -- one year ago

Sent: Saturday, September 21, 2002 11:07 AM Subject: Hurricane Isidore

You can call me a nut or whatever I had dreams about this hurricane over a year ago I seen the destruction that it caused with its gigantic waves crashing into land with such force the magnitude of force was such it litterly exploded buildings into splinters.  Waves were in excess of sixty feet in height.  People were dragged back into the seas as the waves receded only to come back again and again.  This will be the most destructive hurricane to ever hit land.  I would like all of you to pray for the safety of people in the path of this gigantic storm.  Love, William

[SamAdams76]

Some of the biggest storms have been in Oct. As long as the water is warm Hurricanes are possible.

Name them. The biggest October storm I remember is that "unnamed northeaster" of October 1991. That was the storm that the book and movie "The Perfect Storm" was the subject of.

[Bad~Rodeo]

PING

[NautiNurse]

Hmmm...the interim advisory didn't pick up the increased winds. I wonder why?

Hurricane Isidore Intermediate Advisory Number 25a Statement as of 7:00 am CDT on September 22, 2002 ...Isidore moves near the Yucatan Peninsula with 125 mph winds... a Hurricane Warning is in effect on the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico from campeche north and eastward to tulum...including the island of Cozumel. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the western Cuba province of Pinar del Rio...including the Isle of Youth. At 7 am CDT...1200z...the center of Hurricane Isidore was located near latitude 21.9 north...longitude 88.2 west. This position is about 25 miles...35 km...north of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. This is also about 105 miles...170 km...east-northeast of Progreso Mexico. Isidore has been moving westward near 7 mph...11 km/hr. A slight turn toward the west-southwest at about the same forward speed is possible later today. On this track...the center will come very close to the north coast of the Yucatan Peninsula and may move onshore...bringing the core of the hurricane and the strongest winds with it. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph...205 km/hr...with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours and Isidore could become a category four hurricane later today. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 50 miles... 85 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 200 miles...325 km. The latest minimum central pressure measured by reconnaissance aircraft is 935 mb...27.61 inches. Some heavy rain is still possible over portions of western Cuba and the Isle of Youth. Very heavy rain is also affecting the northern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula and rainfall amounts of 10 to 20 inches are likely. Coastal storm surge flooding along the north coast of the Yucatan Peninsula is expected to reach 2 to 5 feet above normal tide levels along with battering waves. Storm surge flooding could increase to 8 to 12 feet above normal...if...and where...the center moves onshore. Repeating the 7 am CDT position...21.9 N... 88.2 W. Movement toward...west near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds...125 mph. Minimum central pressure... 935 mb. For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office. The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 10 am CDT. Forecaster Stewart

[BigWaveBetty]

Is there surf?! I don't know any west coast of Florida web cam/surf sites.

[ovrtaxt]

Try this:

http://www.adamsmark.com/clearwater/webcam.asp

[NELSON111]

Uhhh...MITCH:-) Deadliest hurricane in the Americas. Opal, Miami Hurricane of '43 are some more.

[jpsb]

No, no dogs allowed. One thing I am very sure of is that Maggie would not abadion me. So I will not abadion her.

I'm Ok, It would take a direct hit by a strong cat 3 to put water in my house.