Do you see a couple of trends? 1) The incumbent can't come close to breaking 50%, even in Dem polls, after spending $16 million. 2) If you believe all those polls (which I do not), then the gap is closing rather quickly - 17, 11, 9, and now 7. So you should be talking about Simon's momentum.
If you're going to go back to old polls, why not use the 9 polls showing Simon leading the race?
You're right? No, you're not. You state Simon doesn't have a chance. Yet you have nothing concrete to back up that nonsense. You have an incumbent that has spent heavily and yet cannot break 47%. You have a challenger that has been pummeled by ads and the media who is in a statistical tie in this latest poll. And he just started advertising. And the President of the United States just helped him raise $3 million.
You are so not right. Even if Davis does win this thing, you're just off somewhere in anti-reality world. Yet you'll undoubtedly run around saying how right you were, even if it's a 50-49-1 race. :-) Get a grip.
And please stop using the term "statistical tie". An 11-point lead does not a statistical tie make.