[Publius]

I see the trends, all right, and I see that without a miracle, or a really good showing from the Greens, Davis has this one in the bag.

And please stop using the term "statistical tie". An 11-point lead does not a statistical tie make.

[rb22982]

This poll shows a 7 point lead, not an 11. Combined with the fact that the incumbent cannot even get above 45-48% (not even 40% in this poll) shows that he is still very beatable. The odds may be in his favor but to write Simon off is foolish.

[Coop]

An 11-point lead does not a statistical tie make.

You're clueless. A 7-point lead with a 3.6% margin of error does a statistical tie make.

You obviously do NOT see any trends, or you wouldn't make such ridiculous statements.