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Backlash in Saudi Arabia
The Christian Science Monitor ^ | Sunday, August 11, 2002 | Nawaf Obaid

Posted on 08/11/2002 2:28:41 PM PDT by Dog Gone

LONDON, Aug 12, 2002 -- As revealed in a recent front-page story in The Washington Post, "Briefing Depicted Saudis as Enemies," neoconservatives in the US are gaining a wider audience for their attempts to demonize Saudi Arabia.

Such jingoistic talk runs counter to the position of the Bush administration, which recognizes Saudi Arabia as a vital ally. Still, the talk is fanning resentment in the kingdom and making it more difficult for the royal family to cooperate with the US on a range of initiatives, such as regional peace, economic development, and maintaining stability in the oil markets.

Saudis see a growing animosity in American government and media. A string of editorials and analyses in major US publications harshly criticize the kingdom for its perceived role in the 9/11 attacks - namely, that Saudi Arabia supports, finances, and politically backs terror groups around the world - claims that are unsubstantiated. Pundits such as Bill Kristol, editor of the influential Weekly Standard, have advocated the removal of the Saudi royal family.

While Americans may realize that a free and independent media can give an outlet for extremist views, domestic Saudi critics such as Eid Al Qarni have argued on several Arab satellite networks that such remarks are part of "an orchestrated US media campaign against Saudi Arabia." American determination to remove the Palestinian and Iraqi leaders, Yasser Arafat and Saddam Hussein, regardless of the kingdom's view, has strengthened the conclusion that Americans hold the Saudis in disdain.

But what has especially enraged Saudis are rumors of an American plan to partition the kingdom. A few weeks ago, I received a phone call from Riyadh from an enraged domestic Saudi dissident recently released from house arrest. He wanted to know if the US had commissioned a plan to invade Saudi Arabia and set up a puppet regime in the oil-rich Eastern Province? This would supposedly guarantee US oil supplies and shift US troops away from the holy soil of Mecca and Medina.

I had also heard that a senior Saudi security official hurried back from a trip abroad last month to discuss similar news with senior Saudi policymakers.

It turns out there was something behind these rumors. As reported in the Post, a July 10 briefing to the Pentagon's Defense Policy Board argued for giving the Saudis an ultimatum: "Stop backing terrorism or face seizure of its oil fields." I have procured another recent report, prepared for the Pentagon's Office of Net Assessment, which discusses the option of invading the kingdom to secure oil fields.

Last month, the satellite TV station Al Jazeera dedicated its most popular talk show to a discussion of the supposed American plan to invade and dissect the kingdom. The main guest, Dr. Mohsen Al Awaji, a prominent liberal Islamic scholar once jailed for his criticisms of the Saudi government, denounced the plan on the show. Even the most senior Saudi Shiite cleric, Sheikh Hassan Al Saffar (who would ostensibly benefit from the plan if this mainly Shiite province were detached from majority Sunni Saudi Arabia), condemned the idea vociferously.

In this climate, those leaders who have most distanced themselves from the United States - such as Minister of Defense Prince Sultan and Minister of Interior Prince Nayef - have seen their popularity skyrocket. That a prominent figure such as Prince Sultan has moved away from the pro-American camp is important: As minister of defense for the past several decades, he oversaw billions of dollars of defense contracts with American firms, making Saudi Arabia the largest importer of US arms. He was also, until recently, one of the most vocal proponents of the kingdom's strategic partnership with America.

After Sept. 11, shortcomings in Saudi society and lapses in its government policies have become apparent, such as a failure to control and moderate extreme rhetoric in mosques and universities, massive unemployment, and the role of women.

But more than 50 years of cooperation with the United States should provide impetus to work with, not alienate, this vital US ally. As the world's largest exporter of petroleum, Saudi Arabia has played a stabilizing role in global energy markets for decades, guaranteeing America reasonable oil prices.

And while Saudi foreign policy will always be informed by the kingdom's responsibilities as guardian of Islam's holiest sites, the Saudi monarchy has more often been a force for cooperation with the non-Muslim world. This stance has been extremely valuable to America in economic, political, and military terms.

America and Saudi Arabia are at the heart of two great but very different civilizations. It is natural that major disagreements should occur, but through 10 US administrations and five Saudi kingships these differences have been handled peacefully. If those who want an enemy in Saudi Arabia gain the upper hand, they will, unfortunately, find one. And the world will become a much more dangerous place.

Nawaf Obaid is a Saudi analyst and author of the book 'The Oil Kingdom at 100' (Washington Institute for Near East Policy, 2001).


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: evilopeckerprinces; exportingterrorism; islamakazis; islamakaziwahhabi; jehadiscrap; jihadinamerica; jihadiscrap; medievalmonarchy; opecequalterrorism; opeckerislamakazis; opeckerprinces; opecoilterrorism; opecterrorexport; saudi; saudiarabia; saudideathcults; saudienemies; saudiislamakazis; saudisequalnazis; terrorism; wahhabideathcult; wahhabiislamakazis
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To: Dog Gone
analyses in major US publications harshly criticize the kingdom for its perceived role in the 9/11 attacks - namely, that Saudi Arabia supports, finances, and politically backs terror groups around the world - claims that are unsubstantiated.

Um, how many Saudi nationals were involved in the WTC bombings?

Osama bin Laden is Saudi too, isn't he?

And what about the Palestinian Terrorist Telethon they held to support the suicide bombers in Israel?

The Saudis do bad things, and when the USA calls them on it, it becomes the USA's fault, somehow.

21 posted on 08/11/2002 4:00:05 PM PDT by ikka
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To: crystalk
"I don't know whether we WANT an enemy in Saudi Arabia, but we certainly do HAVE one!"

They considered us their enemy pre-9/11...

They were caught with their slimey hands in the cookies jar -- now they realize they may have to pay the piper.

22 posted on 08/11/2002 4:04:31 PM PDT by F16Fighter
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To: Mike Darancette
Thanks for the link. The US quickly disavowed the Rand study, but it surely is the one that the Saudis are reacting to.

Their reaction isn't terribly surprising. Nobody is going to react favorably to a recommendation that their nation be forcibly dissected.

23 posted on 08/11/2002 4:07:40 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Dog Gone
Their reaction isn't terribly surprising.

Saudi has been given the carrot too long, now they have been given a glimpse of the stick.

24 posted on 08/11/2002 4:10:05 PM PDT by Mike Darancette
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To: Mike Darancette
The thing that the Saudis really fear is that we'll install a democratic, tolerant, pro-Western government in neighboring Iraq.

When we do that, the Royal family is toast. They'll have to figure out a way to become like Britain's royalty, or flee to Uganda.

25 posted on 08/11/2002 4:13:03 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Dog Gone
It turns out there was something behind these rumors. As reported in the Post, a July 10 briefing to the Pentagon's Defense Policy Board argued for giving the Saudis an ultimatum: "Stop backing terrorism or face seizure of its oil fields."

Oh, I dunno. I don't like to think of us invading another nation. But then, if that nation is supporting attacks upon our nation via terrorism support....well....sounds like a fair plan to me.

26 posted on 08/11/2002 4:15:17 PM PDT by Republic
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To: Long Cut
"It should be noted, of course, that we have no interest at all in Mecca and Medina"

Come now. Surely we can spare a warhead for each.

Or perhaps just inundate the KaaBa with pig blood. Either one would be satisfactory.

--Boris

27 posted on 08/11/2002 4:16:04 PM PDT by boris
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To: Excuse_My_Bellicosity
The posts in here are crazy.

If they decide to turn off the spouts to the oil for 60 days, our economy will go down in flames.

I remember the long gas lines, buddy...and I don't want to see them again.

28 posted on 08/11/2002 4:20:43 PM PDT by DCPatriot
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To: 1bigdictator; dennisw; veronica; American in Israel
ping!
29 posted on 08/11/2002 4:28:06 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Dog Gone
Just because the Saudis send Saudi terrorists to help Al Qaeda flatten our buildings and kill nearly 3000 Americans, or becasue they did nothing when their local terrorists killed several of our military in a barracks in their country, or when they reward the Palis for killing our allies, the Jews, we should give them a pass? The Saudis are the enemy. Most just don't want to believe it.
30 posted on 08/11/2002 4:36:16 PM PDT by Paulus Invictus
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To: Mike Darancette
The Saudi's have been living a bluff for years now. They are about to have it called and they're panic-stricken. They fear that the world will come to its senses and realize--ultimately they have no real power.

The world has changed in the last 30 years: unlike in the 70's, they need our money more than we need their oil.
Bush knows it, and the Saudi's know he knows it (one advantage of having a president who knows what the real world is about.)

The sun is setting on the House of Saud and there's not a damn thing they can do about it.

31 posted on 08/11/2002 4:38:40 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
In this P.R. war for global opinion the Saudis would like to argue the law, but it is not on their side. They would like to argue the facts, but the facts undermine their credibility too. They are desperate, as this third rate Saudi rep. demonstrates; his arguments are the logical equivalent of pounding his shoe on the table in the court for global opinion.
32 posted on 08/11/2002 4:59:18 PM PDT by 1bigdictator
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To: DCPatriot
So we should submit?
33 posted on 08/11/2002 5:22:30 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: DCPatriot
No way, Saudi does not have near the market share that they did 25 years ago. They need us (and our money) a hell of a lot more than we need them. Their current regime is on the edge of collapse. Taking their oil would be a nice bonus, but I'm a lot more interested in making them accountable for their open support of terrorism.
34 posted on 08/11/2002 5:27:20 PM PDT by Excuse_My_Bellicosity
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To: Dog Gone
They'll have to figure out a way to become like Britain's royalty, or flee to Uganda.

UGANDA??? No way! They already own palaces and estates all over Switzerland, the French Riviera etc.

We'll know the game is over when they stop flying back to Saudi Arabi on their weekly private jet shuttle flights.

35 posted on 08/11/2002 5:34:52 PM PDT by Travis McGee
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To: Mike Darancette
/1/ Take the eastern oil fields. There are no Saudis who turn a wrench anyway. None, zero.

/2/ Drive the Wahhabists into the Empty Quarter, let them put as much loot as they can into their SUVs. Adios.

/3/ Give control of Mecca and Medina and the holy sites BACK to Jordan.

36 posted on 08/11/2002 5:37:21 PM PDT by Travis McGee
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To: DCPatriot
An oil disruption will mean a TEMPORARY economic shock in the West, while we rejigger production elsewhere, but oil is just a fungible commodity like water or wheat. We can live without Saudi oil.

OTOH, with an embargo of Saudi Oil, THEY DIE. They cannot support their desert kingdom without the West. Food, medicine, tools, parts (for their drinking water desal plants) all comes from the West.

They can't drink and eat oil. We can get oil from elsewhere. We can also take their oil easily if it comes to war.

37 posted on 08/11/2002 5:41:15 PM PDT by Travis McGee
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To: Travis McGee
/3/ Give control of Mecca and Medina and the holy sites BACK to Jordan.

Don't forget that Iraq was also a Hashimite Kingdom until 1958.

38 posted on 08/11/2002 5:57:04 PM PDT by Mike Darancette
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To: Dog Gone
As revealed in a recent front-page story in The Washington Post, "Briefing Depicted Saudis as Enemies," neoconservatives in the US are gaining a wider audience for their attempts to demonize Saudi Arabia. Such jingoistic talk runs counter to the position of the Bush administration, which

Garbage in, garbage out.

Here we have a whole society wishing to enslave us under their philosophy of the Koran, and we're not supposed to think ill of them.

39 posted on 08/11/2002 6:01:31 PM PDT by Dec31,1999
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To: Travis McGee
They can't drink and eat oil. We can get oil from elsewhere. We can also take their oil easily if it comes to war.

Oh, my God, Travis! They would have to get....I hate to say it.... JOBS!

40 posted on 08/11/2002 6:03:45 PM PDT by Dec31,1999
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