Yeah, but those "better sources" to which you refer either aren't talking, or are mixing in a heavy dose of disinformation. This author does address the major strategic concerns as far as this civilian can tell. Moreover, his blueprint fits recent troop movements, theater basing, and troop training -- all of which is near impossible to hide.
Maybe by inspection of the obvious, but not by the thorough analysis of all friendly/enemy capabilities and possible courses of action. I am not saying he is wrong, but anyone can armchair a hundred scenarios to fit the observable. Few of these speculators can still correctly predict the ultimate course of action that the professional strategists will recommend to the Commander in Chief (as witnessed as recently as last fall). I just caution the obvious, don't believe everything you read from every commentator that can get a headline. And since time is usually a luxury for me, I try to choose better sources than a gaming promo writer.
FRegards,