[crasher]

The consenus used to be that Allard was the 3rd most vulnerable Republican seat behind NH and AR. Now I would say that NH and AR are still 1 and 2, but TX is now 3rd, TN 4th, and CO 5th. TN and CO would probably switch places again if Alexander wins the primary. If not, of course, TN could move all the way to 1.

[crasher]

I do not actually believe that Chapman is ahead of Hensarling (ms?) by 6 points. But you can never count a race as in the bag when the only 2 polls conducted both show Chapman winning.

[KQQL]

Check this RAT poll for the open house seat TX-5:

TX-5 don't look good....Remember Chapman is a well known Judge....this will be really sad if the GOP only picks 1 seat in TX.

Texas --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Democratic Poll Gives Chapman 7-Point Edge

Former Dallas County Judge Ron Chapman (D) leads his Republican opponent, Jeb Hensarling, in the race for the open 5th district, according to a new Democratic survey. Chapman took 43 percent to Hensarling's 37 percent in the survey conducted byBennett Petts Blumenthal. The poll was in the field from July 10 to 15, testing 450 registered voters with a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Both Chapman and Hensarling emerged from crowded primaries in March with a strong burst of momentum. Chapman received 71 percent of the vote against two other contenders. Hensarling's win was even more impressive, as he took 54 percent of the vote in a four-way race against several well-financed challengers.

The seat came open following the decennial redistricting process. Rep.Pete Sessions (R) has held the swing district since 1996 but decided to run in the much more stronglyRepublican 32nd district, one of two new seats rewarded to the Lone Star State in reapportionment.
Both seats are based inthe Dallas suburbs.

[jf55510]

There were two polls that were not reported in the media, but it showed Cornyn up big time. One poll showed Cornyn up 56-40 over Kirk, and other was similar. I am HTML challenged so I cannot do links but here it is.

http://news.mysanantonio.com/story.cfm?xla=saen&xlc=763943