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Check this RAT poll for the open house seat TX-5:

TX-5 don't look good....Remember Chapman is a well known Judge....this will be really sad if the GOP only picks 1 seat in TX.

Texas --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Democratic Poll Gives Chapman 7-Point Edge

Former Dallas County Judge Ron Chapman (D) leads his Republican opponent, Jeb Hensarling, in the race for the open 5th district, according to a new Democratic survey. Chapman took 43 percent to Hensarling's 37 percent in the survey conducted byBennett Petts Blumenthal. The poll was in the field from July 10 to 15, testing 450 registered voters with a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Both Chapman and Hensarling emerged from crowded primaries in March with a strong burst of momentum. Chapman received 71 percent of the vote against two other contenders. Hensarling's win was even more impressive, as he took 54 percent of the vote in a four-way race against several well-financed challengers.

The seat came open following the decennial redistricting process. Rep.Pete Sessions (R) has held the swing district since 1996 but decided to run in the much more stronglyRepublican 32nd district, one of two new seats rewarded to the Lone Star State in reapportionment.
Both seats are based inthe Dallas suburbs.

One must discount polls to some extent that are not in accord with partisan balance in the district. Folks tend to revert to normal voting habits in the end, absent something out there that changes it. Plus, the Dems in both the CO-4 and TX-5 are better known I suspect, maybe in the latter because of name confusion. That discrepancy will erode over time. The tank in the stock market may take down some pubbies I thought were more likely than not to win, but not these two. A more likely casualty would be someone like Toomey, whom I have added to my spreadsheet. Being added to my speadsheet if you are a Pubbie is NOT a good thing.