Coleman Wellstone Even, GOP Poll Shows and Thune Poll Shows Lead Over Johnson

rollcall ^ | 7-22-2002 | - Lauren W. Whittington and Chris Cillizza

[KQQL]

Minnesota

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Coleman, Wellstone

Even, GOP Poll Shows

A new GOP poll in the Gopher State's closely watched Senate race showed Republican Norm Coleman ahead of Sen. Paul Wellstone (D) by 4 points.

The survey, done by Voter/Consumer Research from July 14 to 15, showed Coleman at 46 percent and Wellstone at 42 percent. The margin of error was 4 percent.

Independent polling has indicated the race is in a statistical dead heat and new campaign financial disclosure reports show Coleman and Wellstone were second highest in overall spending among Senate contests last quarter. Wellstone spent $2 million while Coleman spent more than $1.5 million from April 1 through June 30.

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Thune Poll Shows

Lead Over Johnson

Rep. John Thune (R) held a slim advantage over Sen.Tim Johnson (D) in a poll conducted for his campaign last week.

Thune took 45 percent to Johnson's 43 percent in the survey conducted by the Anderson Group, which tested 400 registered voters on July 17.

This is the third poll released in the past two weeks that shows the race within the margin of error.

A Public OpinionStrategies (R) poll conducted in mid-June showed Thune with a 44 percent to 43 percent lead; a poll conducted for the Johnson campaign late last month showed its candidate on top 49 percent to 47 percent.

Seeking to put Thune on the defensive on corporate accountability, Johnson's campaign released an ad titled "Greed" that details Johnson's work in the Senate to pass legislation that significantly curtails the rights of corporations.

Thune ended June with a financial lead over Johnson. He had $200,000 more in his war chest than Johnson; the Johnson campaign is quick to note, however, that the Senator has already laid down more than$500,000 for his television advertising in October.

[gov_bean_ counter]

Bush's FBI/SEC won't act until the evidence is stacked pretty high. There will be no doubt.

[terilyn]

Please don't tease me. Hope is a fragile thing LOL!

Ahhh...strategery...it's a fine thing.

[copycat]

We need to back them off this corporate issue. Hopefully, Citigroup and Bob Rubin will allow us to do that. If not... we're in for a LONG autumn.

One well-placed Justice probe around, say, October 1 ought to do the trick.

[hchutch]

Do you think they may have some goods?

And does this August 14 deadline have anything to do with what you saw?

[gore_sux]

Go Norm Go!

http://www.wellstonemustgo.com/

(Updated almost daily)

[KQQL]

Aslo from AT the Races:

Three weeks out from the Colorado primary, a new poll taken for state Senate President Stan Matsunaka (D) shows him within just 4 points of state Sen. Marilyn Musgrave, his most likely GOP opponent in the 4th district of retiring Rep. Bob Schaffer (R).

The Lake Snell Perry and Associates poll showed Musgrave beating Matsunaka in a general election matchup 41 percent to 37 percent. The survey had Matsunaka beating the other GOP primary contender, attorney Jeff Bedingfield, 40 percent to 33 percent.

[KQQL]

I would love to seee a GOP and a indpt poll for TX-5...so far both polls at a margin of =/-4.9% and were done by RATs

[KQQL]

I would love to seee a GOP and a indpt poll for TX-5...so far both polls at a margin of +/4.9% and were done by RATs

[tubebender]

Ping...

[MattinNJ]

Let's just say that McGreevey might have qualified for one of Cardinal Law's priests.

I don't know if you caught the debates, but one took place around Halloween. Schundler turned to McGreevey and cryptically asked him how kids celebrated Halloween in Canada. To those in the know, it was a shot across the bow-McGreeveys ex-wife allegedly had fled to Canada with their son because of McGreevey's improprieties.

BTW, McGreevey did not shatter his leg by falling down a sand dune like he claimed. I honestly do not know how it was broken, but there were a lot of unconfirmed rumors about one pi$$ed off dad.

Maybe it's not as bad as Clinton's selling nuclear secrets to the Chinese, but it's debatable.

My source says otherwise, but I really think Schundler held back to shaft the state pubbies who had turned on him, not to spare the post 9/11 shellshocked citizenry who live across the Hudson from the WTC.

BTW, while I have not seen any proof, my source is extremely reliable, honest, and is in no way prone to BS.

[Torie]

Since Watts has annoited Cole, along with the establishment, without knowing anything more, I suspect that Nuttle has a tough road unless he comes across as the superior candidate in fora folks watch, or of which the press takes notice of.

[Torie]

One must discount polls to some extent that are not in accord with partisan balance in the district. Folks tend to revert to normal voting habits in the end, absent something out there that changes it. Plus, the Dems in both the CO-4 and TX-5 are better known I suspect, maybe in the latter because of name confusion. That discrepancy will erode over time. The tank in the stock market may take down some pubbies I thought were more likely than not to win, but not these two. A more likely casualty would be someone like Toomey, whom I have added to my spreadsheet. Being added to my speadsheet if you are a Pubbie is NOT a good thing.

[crasher]

That's 3 credible Republicans. And then there is the real problem for Landrieu, which is that Cleo Fields might enter the race as a black Democrat. He could get between 5-15% of the vote in the primary. If he enters, there almost certainly will be a runoff. Of course Landrieu will be heavily favored in the runoff anyway.

Louisiana's open primary system sucks.

[hchutch]

But if there is a runoff, Fields and his supporters could sit out.

I think it is quite possible that we could beat Landrieu in a runoff. Terrell is our best shot there, IMHO.

[KQQL]

I think if stock market further tanks or remains in 7500-8500 range,...then RATS will win the house.....

GOP needs DJ of 8700 + and NASD of 1600+ at time of election s to retain the house

[Mudboy Slim]

I realize Coleman's pretty RINO-ish, but I'd be plum tickled to rid the Senate of Wellstone.

FReegards...MUD

[Mudboy Slim]

"...an ad titled "Greed" that details Johnson's work in the Senate to pass legislation that significantly curtails the rights of corporations."

SHEEEESH, are South Dakotans naive enuff to fall fer this again?! They did give us D'Asshole after all.

FReegards...MUD

[Libertarianize the GOP]

.

[crasher]

I agree with everything you said about CO-4,TX-5, and Toomey. I would love to see your updated spreadsheet.

[SoDak]

Gotta work hard. I have another letter to the editor in the works and am getting ready to write yet another check.