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So far, the GOP is not giving conservatives reasons to vote on November 5th
Enter Stage Right ^ | July 15, 2002 | Paul M. Weyrich

Posted on 07/15/2002 10:28:18 AM PDT by gordgekko

Maybe I am totally off base, and probably I should keep my views to myself, but I sense a Democratic victory in Congress in the making. It is true that President George W. Bush still has sky high ratings among the electorate. They see him as someone who thinks like they do. No matter what issues the Democrats throw at the President, nothing sticks to him. They used to call Ronald Reagan the Teflon President, but if Bush continues these ratings into 2004, he will do Reagan one better.

The Bush ratings do not apply to his party, however. In fact, several recent polls find that while the average voter believes that Bush is on the side of the average voter, Republicans in general are seen as being more interested in the welfare of corporate bigwigs. If Democrat strategists are able to take advantage of this voter perception they will hold on to the Senate, but will win control of the House as well. Republican strategists already concede gains in the gubernatorial realm. They are defending many more state houses than the Democrats.

One of the problems for Republicans in Congress is that grass roots conservatives don't feel that the party is willing to raise issues they care about. The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals' decision removing God from the pledge of allegiance and a New York federal judge's decision to release a terrorist are good arguments for confirming President Bush judicial nominees. It is unclear if the party is willing to make this a burning issue because the judge who wrote the pledge opinion was a Republican appointee. If the judiciary becomes a really credible issue, it does have the opportunity to arouse some voters.

One issue that would really stir the grass roots is immigration. Look at what has happened in Western Europe. Eleven of 14 Members of the European Economic Community now have right of center governments. And it is possible that total will be 12 this fall if German voters go the way the polls are now suggesting. Immigration was one of the key issues that brought those right of center governments to power. Even the Dutch government intends to curb the liberal lifestyle in that country. The problem is that President Bush has a fundamental disagreement with Representative Tom Tancredo (R-CO) whose views on immigration resonate well with the grass roots. So immigration will not be made an issue by the Republican Party or if it is it will be in the form of President Bush's outreach to the Hispanic community.

Another issue that stirs the grass roots is the Boy Scout issue. The Boy Scouts have lost millions and have also lost the right to use many public facilities because they refuse to permit homosexual scout masters. The grass roots are all with the Scouts. The party could win seats in the South, Midwest and even Southwest if the party made this an issue. But it is unlikely the party will raise this issue because the Bush Administration has made an outreach to the homosexual community. Just recently, the president signed a bill providing some benefits to same sex partners who were victims of the New York disaster on September 11th.

The Supreme Court's decision on vouchers thrilled most conservatives. This decision is very popular in minority communities where school children are trapped in failing education institutions. However vouchers are not popular in suburban communities. The issue has been defeated in Congress by suburban Republicans. Voters from the suburbs have defeated vouchers when they were on state ballots. So while the party might make this an issue and grass roots conservatives would like it, the suburban Republicans who are part of the Bush coalition might well revolt.

The voters and even some in the grass roots have turned on to the privacy issues. A year ago, in the wake of 9/11, they were willing to support intrusions into their privacy in the interest of safety. Attorney General John Ashcroft was once the darling of grass roots conservatives. He is now seen as the enemy of the Fourth Amendment and impatience with Big Brother security measures grows, especially among grass roots activists. But privacy will not be an issue with the voters at-large this fall.

That is why it is possible that the Democrats will make gains. The Republicans may not raise any issues that will get grass roots conservatives to the polls. In 1994 these conservatives constituted 37 percent of the vote. In 2000, they constituted only 31 percent of the vote. If they drop another percentage or two, Republicans will lose, and could lose big.

We shall see if Democrats are smart enough to turn voter perception about the Republican-Big Business connection into an issue that resonates with the average voter. Thus far they have proved remarkably inept in their efforts to develop issues against President Bush. It could be they will miss what for them is a golden opportunity. However, if they get their act together, President Bush will be dealing with a Democrat Congress for the two years before he has to face the voters. If what has happened in the Senate this past year is any guide, the president will get nothing conservative through the Congress. He will only win if he compromises with the liberals. Then the Democrats will say he is a do nothing president.

Paul M. Weyrich is president of the Free Congress Foundation.


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: georgewbush; midtermelections; republicans
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1 posted on 07/15/2002 10:28:18 AM PDT by gordgekko
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To: gordgekko
As if preventing democrats from making a gain is not reason enough?
2 posted on 07/15/2002 10:30:00 AM PDT by College Repub
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To: gordgekko
Maybe I am totally off base, and probably I should keep my views to myself, but I sense a Democratic victory in Congress in the making.

Yes, you are, yes, you should, and your senses are off-kilter.

3 posted on 07/15/2002 10:33:06 AM PDT by wimpycat
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To: gordgekko
And please tell me a reason to vote FOR a Democrat?? I keep hearing about how the Republicans are not doing enough...but what in the world are the issues Democrats promoting?

Do they even have a platform other than taking our money and talking down the economy?

4 posted on 07/15/2002 10:33:36 AM PDT by tndarlin
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To: gordgekko
Note to Weyrich: It's still the economy.
5 posted on 07/15/2002 10:34:20 AM PDT by Doctor Stochastic
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To: gordgekko
Correct. The GOP is in "Big Tent" mode. It is trying to cater to all ethnic and cultural sub groups. Conservatives offend some of those sub groups so they have to be avoided.

Of course, this Bigt Tent concept has never been tried before now, and it is an absolutely huge risk for the GOP. Our party leaders are banking on capturing the hearts and minds of democrats to the degree that they will change parties and vote for the Republicans.

Oh, Conservatives....you have no other place to go....That is what the GOP thinks of us. Thye know we won't vote for a stinking demorat, so its okay to ignore the serious conservatives.

6 posted on 07/15/2002 10:37:07 AM PDT by SamBees
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To: tndarlin
There is no reason to vote for the Democrats.

Nor is there really a reason to vote for the Republicans, either.

Most Americans know this. Hence the "voter apathy" that both major parties whine about.

7 posted on 07/15/2002 10:38:26 AM PDT by Darth Sidious
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To: Doctor Stochastic
It's still the economy.

True, but don't underestimate the profound dismay with which the grassroots views Dubyah. An awful lot of us have given up on him, and the GOP.

8 posted on 07/15/2002 10:38:59 AM PDT by SlickWillard
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To: College Repub
You are speaking of the dumbest of the dumb here. There is never a reason for them to vote only bitch and whine and we have some grand champions on site.
9 posted on 07/15/2002 10:40:33 AM PDT by justshutupandtakeit
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To: gordgekko
The lesser-of-two-evils... the Repubs have the conservatives over a barrel - so get out your Vaseline and enjoy it....

Evil sucks - lesser or greater...
10 posted on 07/15/2002 10:42:09 AM PDT by Lexington Green
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To: College Repub
Socialism and socialism-lite. What's the difference? Look at the Patriot Act and the Homeland Security act and the budget and CFR and the Farm Bill. The Republicans signed on to everyone of these in droves. What was even remotely conservative about any of these?
11 posted on 07/15/2002 10:46:41 AM PDT by Blood of Tyrants
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To: gordgekko
I believe that the Republicans are ignoring the Big Picture: the culture war. The current struggle is a battle for the minds of the masses, and the pubs are notoriously inept at this. Reagans smart bet was in hiring top Madison Avenue guys, men who sold stuff to Americans for a living. They created ads and materials that sold the conservative agenda. This is just smart strategy. The Dems are expert at spinning, prodding the media and using MTV style connections to push the liberal mindset. It works.

Rush, Ann Coulter and some other voices are punching through the liberal clutter, but the RNC has got to join the fight. GWB has to stay above the fray with his new tone and all, but the RNC should be in attack mode. If I have to watch the Republican agenda self destruct under current favorable circumstances, I will go batty.

12 posted on 07/15/2002 10:50:11 AM PDT by moodyskeptic
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To: gordgekko
So far, the GOP is not giving conservatives reasons to vote on November 5th

Okay, then. Don't vote.

13 posted on 07/15/2002 10:51:09 AM PDT by rdb3
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To: College Repub
Here's a reason. Conservative judges. Take control of the Senate and let's get some judicial appiontees through the Daschle blockade
14 posted on 07/15/2002 10:51:49 AM PDT by Smedley
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To: College Repub
As if preventing democrats from making a gain is not reason enough?

No, it usually isn't.

Not a few conservative voters aren't persuaded by the "take it or leave it" approach of Republican moderates, and either don't vote or vote third party. The GOP leadership has made the repeated mistake of taking conservative votes for granted, particularly in '92, '96,' '98, and 2000. We got lucky by a few hundred votes in Florida last time out, otherwise those elections were net gains for the Democrats.

A replay of condescension to conservatives is not likely to produce a better outcome this year.




15 posted on 07/15/2002 10:52:57 AM PDT by Sabertooth
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To: SamBees
Thye [sic] know we won't vote for a stinking demorat, so its okay to ignore the serious conservatives.

Okay. Consider yourself duly ignored.

16 posted on 07/15/2002 10:53:14 AM PDT by rdb3
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To: Blood of Tyrants
Who said you had to be a conservative to be (or vote) Republican? But if you are a conservative, I'd imagine you would rather see a Republican in power than a Democrat. If you honestly can not see any differences and choose not to vote "R" then you have no right to complain when dems retain the Senate and tie up conservative judge nominations!
17 posted on 07/15/2002 10:53:39 AM PDT by College Repub
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To: Smedley
Beat me to it...see my post #17
18 posted on 07/15/2002 10:54:54 AM PDT by College Repub
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To: justshutupandtakeit
You are speaking of the dumbest of the dumb here. There is never a reason for them to vote only bitch and whine and we have some grand champions on site.

Nice "get out the vote" motivational speach!




19 posted on 07/15/2002 10:55:03 AM PDT by Sabertooth
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To: Smedley
Here's a reason. Conservative judges.

Shhh! As if that matters to the pious "true" conservatives. It should matter. But you and I know that to these types, it doesn't.

20 posted on 07/15/2002 10:55:25 AM PDT by rdb3
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