Posted on 03/17/2002 3:23:06 AM PST by Clive
GARDEZ, Afghanistan (AP) -- To some veteran Afghan commanders, the recent U.S. offensive against al-Qaida fighters in eastern Afghanistan failed because most of the enemy escaped.
Moreover, they said, this month's Operation Anaconda, the biggest U.S.-led offensive of the Afghan war, should serve as a warning of what lies ahead if the United States wants to crush al-Qaida and Taliban forces still in Afghanistan.
The Afghans, veterans of the brutal 1980s war against the Soviets, said the United States must be prepared for a protracted series of battles, in which an elusive opponent seemingly suffers a terrible pounding, only to disappear into the formidable terrain -- perhaps to return and fight another day.
"There will only be a guerrilla war with al-Qaida," said Cmdr. Abdullah, a leading Afghan military figure in Paktia province.
"They know how to fight from the jihad (against the Soviets) in small groups in the mountains."
The U.S. military has declared Operation Anaconda, which began winding down last week, a success. The U.S.-led coalition seized control of the Shah-e-Kot valley after nearly two weeks of punishing air strikes and ground combat -- losing eight U.S. and three Afghan troops.
"Operation Anaconda...is an incredible success," said Maj. Bryan Hilferty, spokesman of the U.S. 10th Mountain Division.
"It took only 20 terrorists to kill 3,000 of the world's citizens in the World Trade Towers. We've killed hundreds and that means we've saved hundreds of thousands of lives. This is a great success."
However, Afghan commanders questioned that assessment -- as well as the estimate of hundreds of al-Qaida and Taliban casualties.
"Americans don't listen to anyone," said Cmdr. Abdul Wali Zardran.
"They do what they want. Most people escaped." "You can't call that a success."
U.S. officers have publicly downplayed the significance of body counts, perhaps trying to avoid a repetition of the Vietnam experience where ground commanders felt under pressure to report elevated enemy casualties.
"I don't know why we get into a body count," said Col. Frank Wiercinski, brigade commander of the 101st Airborne Division, dismissing questions about the numbers of al-Qaida and Taliban dead.
Apart from killing al-Qaida members, the operation was successful because it broke up a major concentration in a strategic area and yielded valuable information on the terrorist network, U.S. officials said.
To the Afghans, however, killing or capturing the enemy is the whole purpose of guerrilla warfare and the principal measure of success. Otherwise, they said, the opponent will fight again somewhere, someday.
"In my opinion, the campaign failed," Abdullah said.
"There were some forces there but during the very heavy bombardment and air strikes they left."
By that measure, the Afghans find little evidence of success.
Shireen Gul, the first Afghan commander to enter Shah-e-Kot at the end of the 12-day operation, found 10 bodies scattered about the area. Cmdr. Zardran, who entered the Shah-e-Kot valley from another direction, said he found 20 bodies in one place and three in another.
Other al-Qaida fighters may have been killed during punishing bombing raids that collapsed a warren of caves burrowed into the mountains.
Asked about estimates of hundreds dead, U.S. special forces troops cite an intelligence report which said during the fighting, al-Qaida commanders sent word to a nearby village to prepare hundreds of coffins.
"We heard this thing but it's not true," Abdullah said.
"We don't put our dead in boxes. During the jihad, we buried the dead where they died because they were martyrs."
"These people would do the same thing."
The Afghans believe al-Qaida and Taliban forces began leaving the area in small groups once the U.S. bombing intensified, using exfiltration techniques refined against the Soviets.
"I remember once the Russians were bombing and bombing," former guerrilla Mullah Mohammed Khaqzar said.
"We left the area in groups of five and 10. We stayed away hidden in the mountains until we knew it was over and then we returned."
Cmdr. Zardran, wrapped in a brown woolen shawl against the wind that whipped thorough his command post south of Gardez, estimated as many as 300 fighters escaped Operation Anaconda and headed toward Pakistan through Urgoon in neighbouring Paktia province.
He believes that constituted most of the al-Qaida and Taliban force arrayed against the coalition when the offensive began March 2.
Abdullah agreed the al-Qaida and Taliban force was smaller than the upper estimates -- some of which ranged as high as 1,000 -- which circulated at the height of the battle.
"When we entered the area, I didn't see any big ammunition stocks and no signs of a big force," Abdullah said.
"It's my idea that there was not that many people even in the bunkers and the caves."
Abdullah knows the area well because he fought there in the 1980s with the U.S.-backed Harakat-e-Inqilab Afghanistan, or Revolutionary Movement of Afghanistan. Khaqzar said the al-Qaida and Taliban fighters will probably travel in small groups throughout the mountain ranges that crisscross Afghanistan until they find a safe place to regroup.
His advice for winning the war is "to know where they are hiding and then send in small commando units to take them out."
"Bombs from B-52s won't defeat al-Qaida or the Taliban," he said.
U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld said in Washington it is too early to tally the success of the 15-day-old assault on enemy hide- outs in mountainous eastern Afghanistan. Even if some survived the assault and eluded capture, they will be pursued so they cannot find safe haven elsewhere, he said.
More such operations could be ahead, U.S. deputy defense secretary Paul Wolfowitz said Saturday.
"There are still significant numbers of terrorists. It's a huge country," Wolfowitz said in an interview on CNN's Novak, Hunt and Shields.
The Pentagon has said repeatedly during the five-month war in Afghanistan stamping out terrorists would be a long, difficult task. And Rumsfeld shrugged off a suggestion the military campaign against terrorists so far has simply pushed al-Qaida from Afghanistan to new refuges in Pakistan and elsewhere.
Rumsfeld said that's not necessarily all bad. He acknowledged fighters had scattered to not only neighbouring countries "but have departed neighbouring countries and gone elsewhere in the world, some to the Middle East and some to elsewhere."
Rumsfeld acknowledged the threat to those countries. But he said the situation is better than it was five months ago because Afghanistan is no longer the sanctuary it was for terrorists when it was run by the Taliban.
It is beginnng to look like mission creep.
"You too, huh?
Based on their behavior on the battlefield and in the media, your comment is well-founded and could hardly be viewed as racist, except, of course, by the liberal element that believes that anything that disagrees with their point of view is automatically racist, bigoted or homophobic.
This guy is former Taliban. Know how I know that? Our troops haven't even offered this Commander a US winter coat. The Afghan fighters who are working WITH the US all have winter gear. This guy is from the eastern provences and chances are he's one of the guys who let the Al Qaeda pass during the raid on Tora Bora.
The 2 men mentioned in the article ARE NOT Northern Alliance. They are from Patkia provience which is in southeastern Afghanistan. These are the people who were SUPPORTING the Taliban just a few weeks ago. You can easily tell NA troops because our guys have given them cold weather gear, and all their vehicles are adorned with a picture of Ahmed Shah Masood.
This is sour grapes from men who have not been chosen to be trained by us and are not on the government payroll. By shooting off their mouths like this, it's no wonder.
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