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Posted on 03/16/2002 6:15:13 PM PST by dalereed
THE INSIDER: Political Information Network
THE AUTHORITATIVE GUIDE FOR SACRAMENTO INSIDERS AND POLITICAL LEADERS
M E M O R A N D U M
TO: Sacramento Political Insiders & Interested Parties
FROM: Russo Marsh + Rogers, Inc.
RE: Simon Solidly Ahead of Davis in New California Poll
DATE: March 16, 2002
SIMON LEADS DAVIS BY SEVEN!
48% - 41%
SACRAMENTO - A recent statewide poll conducted by the nationally recognized political polling firm, Public Opinion Strategies Inc. (POS), reveals that businessman and charity leader Bill Simon leads Gray Davis 48% to 41%.
The poll results reveal that Gray Davis is extremely vulnerable in his re-election campaign, and California voters are looking to a new leader like Bill Simon to rescue the state from the litany of crises that have exploded on Davis' watch.
Simon Leads Davis Among Both Women and Men
Despite false claims by the Davis campaign that Simon would have a difficult time attracting support from female voters, Simon actually leads Davis among women by a 46%-43% margin. Among men Davis is especially weak. Simon receives support from a majority of men (51%) while only 39% of men support the troubled incumbent Governor.
Democrats Remain Lukewarm Towards Davis - Republicans Solidly Behind Simon
Davis' failures as Governor have been so pronounced that he has a difficult time retaining the support of even registered Democrats. While 81% of Republicans support Simon, Davis receives the support of merely 63% of Democrats.
This point is even more strongly underscored by the intensity of support the two candidates receive. 71% of Republicans strongly support Simon while only 48% of Democrats strongly support Davis.
Simon Lead Over Davis Extends Throughout the State - Including Los Angeles
Just as Bill Simon's lead over Davis extends across numerous demographics, Simon's support similarly is not limited to a specific region in the state. Simon leads in every media market of the state except San Francisco. Among the major media markets Simon's lead is dramatic.
SIMON- DAVIS Ballot by Major Media Market
SAN DIEGO SIMON 57% DAVIS 33%
SACRAMENTO SIMON 52% DAVIS 34%
LOS ANGELES SIMON 49% DAVIS 40%
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SAN FRANCISCO SIMON 38% DAVIS 54%
Davis Viewed Unfavorably By 50% of California Voters
After mishandling the state's education policies, energy crisis and budget and fiscal problems, California voters have formed a seriously negative view of Gray Davis. One out of every two voters (50%) views Gray Davis in an unfavorable light.
Meanwhile, almost half of all voters (45%) have a favorable view of Bill Simon, only 42% of voters have a favorable view of Davis.
Davis Failures and Unfavorable Image Lead Voters to Look for Someone New
Davis image problems and poor job performance have resulted in only 36% of voters expressing a desire to re-elect him. A startling 55% of voters said "a new person should be elected Governor of California." Historically when such a number is higher than 50%, it has foreshadowed a resounding defeat for the incumbent on Election Day.
Primary Campaign Perfectly Positioned Simon for General Election Victory
Simon campaign chief strategist, Sal Russo, said, "the primary election campaign which focused on Bill Simon as the candidate of ideas has resonated well with California voters. While Gray Davis is focused on blaming everybody else for his failed leaderships, voters are responding to Bill Simon's message of ideas for solving California's problems."
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____________________________________ Russo Marsh + Rogers, Inc
770 L Street, Suite 950
Sacramento, CA 95814
(916) 441-3734
You don't know the lay of the land here. We have Democratic precincts in Bakersfield and Los Angeles where over 100% of registered voters voted for Gore.
Plus, Davis is a vicious and unprincipled child. The ads he will be running will cut Simon to pieces just like the Davis ads cut Riordan to pieces.
We MUST get positive information and the truth out to the households BEFORE the attack ads begin.
And even though I am going to work hard to elect Simon. I give you my prediction now. Davis will win.
California is a media state, and negative ads always win the day. California is a Democrat registration state, and the liberals will go hysteric and get out the vote, and stuff the ballot boxes if the voters don't come in. And, as elsewhere, the media is Democrat here, and they'll find more "RATS ad" type stories and "anti-choice" stories and "anti-gay" stories and "anti-Latino" stories slanted so well that you won't know what hit you come September and October.
Sorry. But if you think I'm a spoil sport, then go out and work as hard as I'm going to in order to make a fool out of me.
It looks like Simon has those people that can do things right.
Russo Marsh + Rogers are heavy hitters, with much experience, and a long client list:
| Political Clients... (Partial List) | ||
| Matt Fong for United States Senate (California, 1998) | ||
| Linda Smith for United States Senate (Washington, 1998) | ||
| Barbara Hafer for State Treasurer (Pennsylvania, 1996) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Dennis Hastert (Illinois, 1996) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Greg Walden (Oregon, 1998) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Tom Ewing (Illinois, ’91, ’96, ’98) | ||
| U.S. Rep. John Shimkus (Illinois; ’96, ’98) | ||
| Idaho Chooses Life PAC (1998) | ||
| New York Republican Party (1996; ’98) | ||
| National Republican Congressional Committee (1994; ’98) | ||
| Matt Fong for State Treasurer (California, 1994) | ||
| George Pataki for Governor (New York, 1994) | ||
| Joe Malone for State Treasurer (Massachusetts, 1994 & 1990) | ||
| Dennis Vacco for Attorney General (New York, 1994) | ||
| Christie Todd Whitman for Governor (New Jersey, 1993) | ||
| U.S. Senator Alfonse D'Amato (New York, 1992) | ||
| Reagan-Bush '84 | ||
| George Deukmejian for Governor (1982, 1986) | ||
| Jack Kemp for President (1988) | ||
| National Federation of Independent Business (1994) | ||
| Campaign For A New Agenda (1994) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Howard "Buck" McKeon (California, 1992 General & Primary) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Jerry Lewis (California, 1988) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Al McCandless (California, 1990 & 1992 General) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Randy "Duke" Cunningham (California, 1990 & 1992) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Elton Gallegly (California, 1986 Primary & General) | ||
| U.S. Rep. George Nethercutt (Washington, 1994) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Bob Barr (Georgia, 1994) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Mark Foley (Florida, 1994) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Steve Schiff (New Mexico, 1988 & 1990) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Denny Smith (Oregon, 1984 General) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Mac Sweeney (Texas, 1984 General) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Jon Kyl (Arizona, 1986 Primary & General) | ||
| U.S. Rep. Barbara Vucanovich (Nevada, 1990 General) | ||
| No on Proposition 9 (California referendum against peripheral canal, 1982) | ||
| No on Proposition 13 (Statewide Water Reform Initiative, 1982) | ||
| Yes on Proposition 8 (The Victims' Bill of Rights -- California, 1982 Primary) | ||
| Reapportionment Referendums of 1982 (California, 1982 Primary) | ||
| Yes on Proposition 197 (The Mountain Lion Initiative, 1996) | ||
| The California Legislative Reform Act (California, 1984 Primary) | ||
| Yes on Proposition 4 "Spirit of 13" (Statewide spending limit initiative, 1979) | ||
| Republican National Committee | ||
| Republican State Central Committee of California | ||
| National Republican Senatorial Committee | ||
| National Republican Congressional Committee | ||
| Washington State Republican Party (1994) | ||
| Nebraska Republican Party | ||
| Connecticut Republican House Campaign Committee | ||
| Project '94 - Oregon State House Republican Caucus (1994) | ||
| Ca. State Senator Ken Maddy, former Senate Republican Leader | ||
| Ca. State Senator Dave Kelley | ||
| Ca. State Senator Bill Morrow | ||
| Ca. Assemblyman Howard Kaloogian | ||
| Ca. Assemblyman Roy Ashburn |
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I know, he's not insane!
Actually yes. Brooks Firestone is one of the Firestone Tire Company heirs. He invested part of his fortune in vineyards and became a winemaker, prior to being elected to the California State Assembly.
LOL !!!
Yeah, that is a common Scumocrat problem in parasite centers (cities) across the country.
"Davis is a vicious and unprincipled child. The ads he will be running will cut Simon to pieces just like the Davis ads cut Riordan to pieces. California is a media state, and negative ads always win the day."
Uh, hello?
Do you think maybe Simon's team has the gonads to rip the scumbag Davis to pieces with negative ads?
Remember, patriciaruth, the "negative ad" thing is a two-way street.
By the way, I predict Simon will win unless Scumocrat vote fraud is even more overwhelming than usual.
With all due respect, a "long client list" does not impress me. What I want to see is a list of winners.
Especially, winners who were not expected to win.
Know what? I can tell you that that is a common misperception. The problem up here in the Northeast lies with the Party leadership, from the state level right on down to the county level. Republican Party "chairmen" lack guts and have mostly been thoroughly corrupted. I don't know why.
But when a real conservative comes along, the voters come out and elect him handily. Rick Santorum is a prime example.
On the one hand you have a "moderate" like my representative, Jim Greenwood. Here's a guy who dances on the fence like nothing you ever saw before. Your quintessential squishbag "moderate" - - a really slimy bore. The guy is scared to death he might get labeled a "conservative". He manages to skate by in this district, but absolutely nobody is excited by the guy. "Congressman" is as high as he will ever go.
On the other hand you have Rick Santorum, an unabashed "conservative" and one of the most conservative Senators in Congress. This guy is so solid that the Scumocrats didn't even bother fielding a credible candidate against him last year. People make a special effort to go vote, just so they can vote for Santorum. If he turned squishy for a second, he would be finished. His popularity thoroughly baffles most of the scumbag Party chairmen around here who believe you have to field a spineless "moderate" in order to win.
The point is, the NE is loaded with conservatives who are begging for a reason to go vote.
The bumper stickers were, "Vote for the Crook."
I hope that he is husbanding his physical energy, so as to not run out of gas at the end of the campaign.
I'm thinking we need to exploit the dissatisfaction with Davis and leave Simon as someone above the fray. San Francisco is hopeless, but LA is encouraging!
Why did that happen in New Jersey and won't happen in California with an inexperienced guy (no successful mayorship or other political experience) who isn't as polished?
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