It's the typical losers mentality of the alleged conservatives that write for the Meekly Standard.
California has a failed Democratic Governor in a liberal state. And the best the Republican can do with a clean slate is a 2 point lead. That is disaster city with a capitol D.
The lowest Davis will be is today. He has endured a year and more of bad publicity. He had no one to run against. That is always the low point. Look at all the candidates that were in troble. Harry Truman in 48 was down 30 points to Dewey. Ford was down 20 points to Carter in 1976 and broght it to within 3 points. Humphry was down 30 points at the start of the 1968 campaign and brought it to within 5. Bush had 20 point lead on Gore at this point in 2000 and we know what happened then.
The lowest an in office politician goes is when it is bad him against nobody. Now it will be bad him against Simple Simon. That is no contest. Unless Davis really screwes up this is a Davis blow out.
Davis starts this race with a 2 point Simon lead. That has to look like heaven to Davis. He will attack and drive Simon's negatives up. Simon can attack all he wants and Davis's negatives will not go any higher.
Simon will fall behind by 15 to 20 points by this fall's election. Bush and the national republicans knew that.. so did Davis.