Posted on 01/27/2002 8:25:56 PM PST by Impeach98
This is GREAT news!!!!! YIPPEEEE!!!!!!
M E M O R A N D U M
TO: Sacramento Political Insiders & Interested Parties
FROM: Russo Marsh + Rogers, Inc.
RE: Simon Closing in on Riordan in Another Poll
DATE: January 28, 2002
____________________________________________________________________
A new poll released Friday by the non-partisan California Target Book shows that conservative Republican Bill Simon's campaign for Governor continues to gain traction with voters. In three recent polls from January 10 through January 24, Simon's support has grown from 4% to 13% and now 18% and growing!
In a matter of three weeks Simon support has jumped almost five-fold on the strength of a growing paid media campaign, the televised candidates debate and key endorsements.
Simon has won recent endorsements from Rudy Giuliani, the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association, California Tax Limitation Committee, California ProLife Council, the California Organization of Police and Sheriffs and conservative State Senator Ray Haynes.
SIMON CLOSING IN ON RIORDAN AS JONES EASILY SURPASSED
The latest poll shows a continual growth in support for Simon despite being outspent by Riordan in recent weeks. While the Simon surge is based on a $600,000 media buy, Riordan has squandered over $2,000,000 according to press reports - with almost nothing to show for the effort. Jones continues to flounder without any prospect for a serious media campaign. The three recent polls were the Public Policy Institute Poll taken from December 26, 2001 through January 10, 2002; the News10-SurveyUSA Poll released on January 21st; and the Target Book poll taken from January 22 through January 24, 2002. The only candidate making significant statewide progress is Bill Simon.
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PPIC - Jan. 10
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Riordan 43%
Simon 4%
Jones 10%
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Survey USA - Jan. 21
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Riordan 53%
Simon 13%
Jones 14%
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Target Book - Jan. 24
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Riordan 45%
Simon 18%
Jones 13%
SIMON NOW EVEN WITH RIORDAN IN PARTS OF CALIFORNIA
The most compelling aspect of the poll is the ground Simon is gaining on former L.A. Mayor Dick Riordan. Simon slightly leads Riordan in the San Francisco Bay Area media market (27%-26%) where Simon enjoys a 24% favorable - 3% unfavorable image rating. Simon also runs a statistical dead heat for first place in the Sacramento media market where Simon is viewed favorably by 27% of voters and unfavorably by only 3%.
RECOGNITION OF GIULIANI ENDORSEMENT GROWS
This new poll shows that the endorsement of Simon by former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani is playing an important role in helping to fuel the explosion in support for Simon. Among those who indicated that they were aware of Giuliani's endorsement of Bill Simon in the GOP gubernatorial race, a whopping 46% indicated they were supporting Simon. Only 1 in 5 voters was aware of the Giuliani endorsement when the poll was conducted.
As the Simon for Governor campaign continues to expand the size and scope of its paid television and radio advertisements in the coming days, this correlation will further propel Simon upwards in the polls.
JONES NOW IRRELEVANT IN GUBERNATORIAL RACE
The California Target Book poll also exposed the widely predicted end for the campaign of Secretary of State Bill Jones. Support for Jones is dropping to single digits in many parts of the state and among key demographics groups as a result of voters flocking to Simon. In the San Diego media market, for example, Jones polls just 4% of the vote. Without the capacity for any significant statewide media buys, Jones is likely to languish in single digits throughout the state.
RIORDAN NOW REELING UNDER CAMPAIGN SCRUTINY
The recent poll also shows increased negatives for Mayor Riordan as voters become increasingly aware of his inconsistent statements on major issues in the campaign. Now Governor Gray Davis is joining the fray and pointing out Riordan inconsistencies to primary voters!
__________________________
Russo Marsh + Rogers, Inc.
770 L Street, Suite 950
Sacramento, CA 95814
(916) 441-3734
I think you may have misunderstood me. I don't want Riordan to be the nominee and I agree that he would be a disaster for the Republican party.
I was replying to a post that claimed Riordan would be the only one who could beat Davis and suggested he should be the R candidate. I absolutely disagree.
Maybe you should reread my post or I should talk more clearly......lol
Sure. Support and vote for Simon in the GOP primary. If it's Simon, so much the better.
Then, in the general election, support and vote for whoever wins the GOP primary.
That's the American way.
Pete Wilson destroyed the California GOP...AND, he almost destroyed California with his phony energy deregulation scam, THAT you can take to the bank....I can only wonder if Pete Wilson got Layed by Enron for doing that dirty deal.......
1. Riordan makes Davis look liberal.
2. Conservatives will stay home or even in my case if I lived there, vote for Davis over Riordan.
3. Riordan wants a gun ban.
4. Riordan backed Dianne Feinswine
5. Riordan backed Bill Klinton and Davis.
Now what conservative would back someone like that? I'd hold my nose for a lot of people after the switch by Jeffords to the dems, but I could not back Riordan if a gun was held to my head.
Davis can sortof keep the really bad dems like Kevin Shelley, Don Perata, and Jack Scott sortof in check. They would roll up Riordan in a minute, and Riordan would sign all their stuff to look 'bipartisan'.
I would take it a step further. In my opinion it would be devastating for the national Republican Party if a liberal scumbag like Riordan beat Davis. A Riordan victory would energize other RINOs and liberal scumbag "moderate" Republicans into believing that people like Riordan are the future of the party. Then we would end up with two scumbag parties and no choice at all. I pray that Simon wins, but if Riordan wins the primary, I hope Republicans stay home for the general election. California is pretty much shot down the liberal toilet at this point anyway. Hopeless, from what I gather.
I hope I am wrong about that. "Governor Simon" would be real encouraging.
I know what you mean: in my opinion, he seemed a bit over-polished on TV, but then, remember, he's having to learn this on the fly. Television is a dangerous medium -- even accomplished public speakers can look like dorks on the small screen, and no amount of practice can compensate for experience. Simon did impress me, though, by being fairly direct about opposition to illegal immigration, his unabashed pro-life stance and a clear intelligence. He's a good candidate, and is going to give Riordan a run for his money. And that's a good thing, IMHO.
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