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Fermi's Paradox II: What's Blocking Galactic Civilization? Or Are We Just Blind To It?
Space.com ^ | November 8, 2001 | By Seth Shostak, Astronomer, Project Phoenix, SPACE.com

Posted on 11/08/2001 7:52:53 AM PST by MeekOneGOP

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To: Physicist
Finding such a signal is not like trying to find a needle in a haystack; it's more like trying to find a needle in a swimming pool full of pudding. The odds may be small that you find it in any given mouthful, but in the right mouthful its presence will be unmistakable.

Love this. I am going to use it myself with your permission! :)

101 posted on 11/09/2001 11:40:33 AM PST by RadioAstronomer
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To: biblewonk
So do the math and figure out what the requirements for LGM to send a signal that we could detect give that 8 watts is detectable from a 10ish foot dish from 5 billion miles away by a 300 foot dish. Detectable in the sense that we can actually decode data, though at a low data rate. We need more than just a carrier since every single object out there is transmitting a carrier. We need intelligence modulated onto it.

Two things: 1. The s/n ratio goes through the roof as we shrink our detection into narrower and narrower bands. 2. We are looking a millions and sometimes billions of frequencies simultaneously.

102 posted on 11/09/2001 11:44:01 AM PST by RadioAstronomer
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To: RadioAstronomer
This is where you are completely wrong. The scintillation of the interstellar medium will pretty much "chew" up any modulation (other than on/off), so SETI is doing just that. Looking foe an extremely narrowband CW signal (no information or modulation needed). And when I say narrow, I mean in the .8 Hz range. Just the fact a .8 Hz narrowband signal exists, denotes an artificially generated signal.

OK, I can buy that. So how much do we gain in signal strength advantage if we don't need to decode modulation? Could we pick up Pioneer 10 at 1 watt from 5 billion miles away? I think we just lost it recently and I thought it was around 5-7 billion miles away and transmitting at more than 1 but less than 10 watts.

103 posted on 11/09/2001 11:47:16 AM PST by biblewonk
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To: RadioAstronomer
Love this. I am going to use it myself with your permission!

By all means. Tell 'em who said it, and maybe I'll end up in Bartlett's someday. Or not.

104 posted on 11/09/2001 11:49:46 AM PST by Physicist
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To: biblewonk
I would have to sit down and crank the math, but we are not looking for 1-5 watt signals. We are looking for radar and other narrowband carriers in the millions of watts.
105 posted on 11/09/2001 11:51:11 AM PST by RadioAstronomer
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To: Physicist
By all means. Tell 'em who said it, and maybe I'll end up in Bartlett's someday. Or not.

Guaranteed you get the credit! :)

106 posted on 11/09/2001 11:53:00 AM PST by RadioAstronomer
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To: Physicist
You have freep mail :)
107 posted on 11/09/2001 11:55:21 AM PST by RadioAstronomer
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To: biblewonk
Could we pick up Pioneer 10 at 1 watt from 5 billion miles away? I think we just lost it recently and I thought it was around 5-7 billion miles away and transmitting at more than 1 but less than 10 watts.

They found it again in April, after missing it for 8 months. Its signal strength is about 8 Watts. It's about 7.5 billion miles away.

108 posted on 11/09/2001 11:56:31 AM PST by Physicist
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To: Physicist
They found it again in April, after missing it for 8 months. Its signal strength is about 8 Watts. It's about 7.5 billion miles away.

Good, then that is an excellent example of our sensitivity limit. So at 10 billion miles we need about 12.5 watts from an 8 foot dish. I'm assuming that Pioneer's dish is about 8 feet. So at 1 ly we need approximately 4.3 million watts from an 8 foot dish or 43000 watts from an 80 foot dish and so on. Are you starting to see my point? The nearest star is 4.3 ly away, as I'm sure you know, needing 4.3 squared times as much power per square foot of antenna or 4.3 squared times as much antenna area on some combination thereof.

109 posted on 11/09/2001 12:05:30 PM PST by biblewonk
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Comment #110 Removed by Moderator

To: biblewonk
So at 1 ly we need approximately 4.3 million watts from an 8 foot dish or 43000 watts from an 80 foot dish and so on.

For a given total power, the transmitter size doesn't matter. Bigger transmitters just let you put more power into the signal, not less.

111 posted on 11/09/2001 12:49:15 PM PST by Physicist
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To: N.B.Forrest
You see we should do this because we may be it... all the life in the universe. Quite a responsibility if you think about it.

In that case, our responsibility is to spread life as far as we can, at least across the solar system. The authoritarian measures you propose will stand in the way of that. And in any case, why preserve a life not worth living? I'd rather we live unsustainably as men than sustainably as animals.

Life on Earth will continue until the Earth is destroyed. Earth has been hit by cosmic disasters before, and life has sprung back every time, different from what it was, but objectively no better or worse. Life takes care of itself. Our concern is human life, and we preserve that best by remaining free.

112 posted on 11/09/2001 12:56:44 PM PST by Physicist
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To: PatrickHenry
placemarker
113 posted on 11/09/2001 1:39:27 PM PST by PatrickHenry
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Comment #114 Removed by Moderator

To: N.B.Forrest
You see I think that is an unnatural freedom anyway. In most of human history diseases, famine and predators kept a families size (and resulting population of humans) in check.

"Natural" is not "better". Disease, famine and predation are the enemies of mankind. In order for ecology to mean anything, it must mean striving for an environment that is suitable for human life. It was good environmental policy to eradicate smallpox. It was good environmental policy to eradicate dire wolves. It was good environmental policy to reduce the buffalo herds and devote the Great Plains of North American to food production.

What kind of quality life do you think you (well who knows you might be one of the very few lucky rich) would have when our population really starts to exceed the carrying capacity of the earth?

It can only be a problem if human ingenuity is held in check. Human population exploded in the 20th century, but the carrying capacity of the Earth more than kept pace with it. Famine and pestilence have never been as uncommon as today.

As long as we are permitted to discover and exploit new energy resources, to exploit the machinery of life to improve human health and food production, and to learn how to live well outside the surly bonds of Earth, mankind will not merely live long, but prosper.

115 posted on 11/10/2001 5:34:03 AM PST by Physicist
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To: Physicist
Well said. You're going to change my opinion of academia if you keep this up.
116 posted on 11/10/2001 9:29:39 AM PST by PatrickHenry
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Comment #117 Removed by Moderator

To: MeeknMing
Maybe we are it? Since many are so fond of "evidence" give us the "evidence" of other civilizations around other stars.
118 posted on 11/11/2001 7:01:57 AM PST by HENRYADAMS
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To: HENRYADAMS
Maybe we are it? Since many are so fond of "evidence" give us the "evidence" of other civilizations around other stars.

Not a problem, good FReeper! Next time I go to Alpha Centauri, I'll bring ya some evidence back courtesy of the FReepin' AC'ers over there! ;-)
119 posted on 11/11/2001 7:06:48 AM PST by MeekOneGOP
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To: Physicist
Is there anyway around that pesky lightspeed limit?

FTL travel would be great, but outside of science fiction I have not seen it.

120 posted on 11/11/2001 7:15:28 AM PST by LibKill
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