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Paxton slips past Talarico in latest poll as Senate race enters final days
Fox 7 Austin ^ | October 30, 2026 | Aaron Baker

Posted on 10/30/2026 4:37:13 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

A new poll has found that Republican Ken Paxton has moved past Democrat James Talarico as the race for U.S. Senate enters its final days.

The poll by Quantus Insights surveyed 1,221 likely voters between Oct. 26 and 28. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.2%.

Republicans made up the majority of respondents at 46.7%, with Democrats comprising 39.4% of respondents and Independents at 13.9%.

Texas Senate race is a dead heat

The Quantus poll found that 48.7% of respondents backed Paxton, while 47.6% backed Talarico. Only 2.2% of respondents said they were undecided.

According to the poll, Talarico holds the lead with women, independents and Hispanic voters. Paxton leads among men, suburban and rural voters.

Both candidates have been crisscrossing the state this week, while polls have consistently showed one of the narrowest margins in a Texas Senate race in decades.

(Excerpt) Read more at fox7austin.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: demagogicparty; jamestalarico; kenpaxton; texas

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1 posted on 10/30/2026 4:37:13 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Posted this in another thread- i have a friend who lives in Austin, Texas i spoke with this evening... He’s more moderate than conservative though he’s turning more and more conservative....he hated Trump for backing Paxton over Cornyn, as he hates Paxton...

I asked him, “did you vote for Talerico?” His response, “I would never vote for that freak” then went on to tell me all about Talefreako...

He told me the people he speaks with in Austin are split but he believes Texans are voting in droves early (as he did) to purposely vote against Talerico...

This guy is by no means a hardcore conservative but believes talerico stands no chance...


2 posted on 10/30/2026 4:41:26 PM PDT by God luvs America
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To: God luvs America

May God make it so.


3 posted on 10/30/2026 4:45:56 PM PDT by Vision (“Our Democracy” means "Our Slush Fund." The Left is hate.)
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To: MinorityRepublican
Quantus Insights

I was excited for a second.

4 posted on 10/30/2026 4:47:19 PM PDT by Kleon
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To: MinorityRepublican

Tammy Talarico should lose by more than van loads of fake ballots.


5 posted on 10/30/2026 4:47:37 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery, wildlife and climbing, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

The day before/of the election you will see all the polls tighten...so the media can say the electorate changed massively at the last minute.


6 posted on 10/30/2026 4:47:38 PM PDT by for-q-clinton
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To: MinorityRepublican

Fox 7 Austin. Austin, the cradle of liberal idiots in Texas.’Nuff said.


7 posted on 10/30/2026 4:50:29 PM PDT by Fungi
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Interesting how these things become too close to call at the last minute. 🤔


8 posted on 10/30/2026 4:56:41 PM PDT by proust (All posts made under this handle are, for the intents and purposes of the author, considered satire.)
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To: proust

Yeah. “Too close” - so don’t claim anything suspicious about Paxton winning easily. Public attitude just changed, conveniently, exactly as much as needed, in exactly the right direction, to pretend it was never a lie. For a dozen straight election cycles.


9 posted on 10/30/2026 5:03:20 PM PDT by Merrick (It's a car - that runs on water, man.)
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To: MinorityRepublican
My Denton TX observation is that the only person anyone might be voting for is Donald Trump. Most Repubs are voting against Talarico with a vehement passion; most Dems are voting against Adam Hoffman and Donald Trump, not necessarily in that order.

(For those outside the Lone Star State, the most played negative ad against Paxton shouts about his "Epstein sweetheart deal" concerning Adam Hoffman, who presently lives in Nebraska as a known and registered sex offender.)

10 posted on 10/30/2026 5:04:03 PM PDT by chajin ("There is no other name under heaven given among people by which we must be saved." Acts 4:12)
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To: MinorityRepublican

He was never behind.


11 posted on 10/30/2026 5:04:09 PM PDT by Frank Drebin (And don't ever let me catch you guys in America!)
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To: for-q-clinton
The day before/of the election you will see all the polls tighten...so the media can say the electorate changed massively at the last minute.

And in other breaking news, the sun is set to rise in the east. These polls are just the same thing we see EVERY FREAKIN' TIME. After a few months of (effectively) PR for the 'Rats, they gotta try to burnish their 'cred' (what little they got) by tightening their numbers. Piss on 'em all!!

12 posted on 10/30/2026 5:05:00 PM PDT by NurdlyPeon (It is the nature of liberals to pervert whatever they touch.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Only one poll counts, and it is about to be released sometime after the polls close in Texas on November the 3rd.

Perhaps Talarico never led by all that much in the polling numbers, but we shall not learn of this until well after the fact.


13 posted on 10/30/2026 5:06:44 PM PDT by alloysteel (Strength to make change happen, humility to accept reality, and wisdom to know the difference.)
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To: Frank Drebin
He was never behind.

Failed PSYOP.

14 posted on 10/30/2026 5:09:22 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: God luvs America

One of my kids said he voted all R but not for Paxton. One says he is voting for the Libertarian. The other two are squishy as well. They get all their news from Reddit. Propaganda. One sent me an article from the Texas Tribune. They would not lesson to reason.


15 posted on 10/30/2026 5:12:59 PM PDT by crusty old prospector
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To: Frank Drebin

Exactly. Typical lib news tactic.

Pump up the candidate all season long and then suddenly announce “it’s too close to call” when the election draws near.


16 posted on 10/30/2026 5:16:20 PM PDT by DarrellZero
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To: God luvs America

Like so many repooblicans paxton has one main thing going for him, he is not talifreeko.

Repooblicans have little to crow about when their platform is: “I’m not the other guy.”


17 posted on 10/30/2026 5:20:16 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Opinions and belly buttons, everybody has one and they get to show them if they want to.)
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To: Sequoyah101

Does anybody know the last election who were theclosest to predict the Senate race, the last time in Texas. What are they saying now?


18 posted on 10/30/2026 5:37:19 PM PDT by factmart ( )
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To: God luvs America

Did he say why he hates paxton?


19 posted on 10/30/2026 5:40:24 PM PDT by joshua c (collectivism has many names but the result is the same; the state is primary, the citizen is a slave)
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To: joshua c

Claims corruption...


20 posted on 10/30/2026 5:41:19 PM PDT by God luvs America
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