Posted on 04/01/2026 7:18:05 PM PDT by bitt
Since its creation some 47 years ago, the Islamic Republic of Iran has demonstrated resourcefulness and dedication to its goals of regional hegemony and proliferation of Islamic radicalism. As a result, the extent of Iranian military recovery from the attacks in June 2025 should not have been surprising. Clearly, if the regime remains in control in Tehran, it will not relent and will continue to represent a danger to the West.
Specifically, should the present conflict leave the regime with the resources to do so, it will seek to recover quickly and even expand its capabilities, including further developing its nuclear program. The key to Iranian recovery is crude oil sales, constituting some $8 billion in 2025. Even if there were effective sanctions, these exports enable barter deals, particularly with Chinese companies, including those producing military electronics and other equipment.
If the conflict does not result in near-term regime change, the United States needs to implement a comprehensive containment strategy that not only opens the straits to marine traffic but also cuts off Iranian crude exports, hobbles Iran’s industrial base, and constrains its importation of industrial and military equipment. Such actions will restrict the rebuilding of its military capabilities (including its nuclear program) and gestate domestic unrest, as the public sits in the dark, unemployed and unable to travel.
WHAT ARE THE MOST IMPORTANT ENERGY ASSETS IN THE IRAN WAR?
Some have expressed concerns that cutting off Iranian crude exports would further exacerbate the upside pressure on crude prices associated with the closure of the straits. However, Iran only exports some 1.5 to 2 million barrels per day, which represents about 1.5% to 2% of global production. Saudi Arabia alone has a reserve capacity of about 2.5 million BPD and could cover any curtailment in the supply of Iranian barrels
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Why containment?
Why not resurrection?
Why containment?
Why not resurrection?
“If the conflict does not result in near-term regime change, the United States needs to implement a comprehensive containment strategy that not only opens the straits to marine traffic but also cuts off Iranian crude exports, hobbles Iran’s industrial base, and constrains its importation of industrial and military equipment. Such actions will restrict the rebuilding of its military capabilities (including its nuclear program) and gestate domestic unrest, as the public sits in the dark, unemployed and unable to travel.”
Kinda sounds long term...
Iran doesn’t own the Strait of Hormuz. F them.
World needs to take over that internationally important waterway permanently.
2%? Eff that. Blow the hell out of it. Should’ve been done already.
It’ll take a place that’s worth repatriation.
One has reasoned doubts about getting from A to B that way.
The Volga river is connected to the Caspian Sea, yes?
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