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Without data centers, GDP growth was 0.1% in the first half of 2025, Harvard economist says
Fortune ^ | 10/10/2025 | Nick Lichtenberg

Posted on 10/12/2025 8:27:12 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

U.S. GDP growth in the first half of 2025 was almost entirely driven by investment in data centers and information processing technology, according to Harvard economist Jason Furman.

Excluding these technology-related categories, Furman calculated in a Sept. 27 post on X.com GDP growth would have been just 0.1% on an annualized basis, a near standstill that underlines the increasingly pivotal role of high-tech infrastructure in shaping macroeconomic outcomes.

Furman’s findings, shared online and echoed by financial analysts including Robert Armstrong of the Financial Times‘ Unhedged (the same writer who coined the term “TACO trade’), echo several months of observations on the remarkable surge in data-center infrastructure. In August, Renaissance Macro Research estimated, to date in 2025, the dollar value contributed to GDP growth by AI data-center buildout had surpassed U.S. consumer spending for the first time ever. That’s remarkable considering consumer spending is two-thirds of GDP.

Technically, as Furman notes, investment in information-processing equipment and software was only 4% of U.S. GDP for the first half of 2025, yet it also accounted for fully 92% of GDP growth over that period. Furman added it’s probably not the case the U.S. economy would have recorded almost no expansion at all absent this buildout, reasoning that “absent the AI boom we would probably have lower interest rates [and] electricity prices, thus some additional growth in other sectors. In very rough terms that could maybe make up about half of what we got from the AI boom.” But still, it’s big.

Tech giants such as Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, and Nvidia have poured tens of billions of dollars into building and upgrading data centers, responding to explosive demand for artificial intelligence and large language models that require massive computing resources.


(Excerpt) Read more at fortune.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: ai; datacenters; economy; gdp

1 posted on 10/12/2025 8:27:12 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

But there ARE data centers. If the money didn’t go into data centers, it would go into something else.


2 posted on 10/12/2025 8:32:06 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("Whatsoever he shall say to you, do ye." (John 2:5))
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To: SeekAndFind

Harvard and Armstrong. Lol.


3 posted on 10/12/2025 8:33:10 PM PDT by HYPOCRACY (Wake up, smell the cat food in your bank account. )
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To: SeekAndFind

Instagram, YouTube, and chatbots are fueling the economy.


4 posted on 10/12/2025 8:34:47 PM PDT by nwrep
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To: SeekAndFind

Macrohard


5 posted on 10/12/2025 8:43:21 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: SeekAndFind

Fortune magazine? An anti-Trump harvard professor? What is there not to trust? /s


6 posted on 10/12/2025 8:46:18 PM PDT by pissant ((Deport 'em all))
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To: SeekAndFind

Now do federal spending under Biden and tell us the “real” GDP without it….. these folks are scum.


7 posted on 10/13/2025 3:14:24 AM PDT by MrRelevant
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To: SeekAndFind

This story is ridiculous.


8 posted on 10/13/2025 3:14:57 AM PDT by central_va ( I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: SeekAndFind

When you think about how many government jobs Trump eliminated, and the decrease in Federal spending that he already accomplished, any economic growth is miraculous. Biden’s entire economy was printing money and government money, it was a fast train to national collapse.


9 posted on 10/13/2025 3:34:38 AM PDT by Pete Dovgan
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To: Dr. Sivana
But there ARE data centers. If the money didn’t go into data centers, it would go into something else.

Stop pointing out facts, you fascist!

10 posted on 10/13/2025 4:58:28 AM PDT by 17th Miss Regt (Fascist, deplorable, and proud of it!)
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To: Dr. Sivana
Perfect, something new for the left to hate.

You just know some kind of link to climate catastrophe is coming. They can't help themselves.

11 posted on 10/13/2025 5:04:35 AM PDT by Kudsman (48)
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To: SeekAndFind

Well, if a Harvard “expert” says so, it must be true - riiiight?


12 posted on 10/13/2025 5:22:19 AM PDT by trebb (So many fools - so little time...)
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To: Dr. Sivana

THE DATA CENTERS ARE A VERY EXPENSIVE ROAD:

THEY USE MASSIVE AMOUNTS OF WATER-—IT IS NOT RECYCLED

THEY REQUIRE EVEN MORE MASSIVE AMOUNTS OF POWER


13 posted on 10/13/2025 8:47:41 AM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: ridesthemiles

I understand that the data centers I spend time in, Iron Mountain, Phoenix, AZ reuses the cooling water. Data Centers predate modern AI. The energy they use displaces the energy that would have been used in on site processing, with the only extra ovehead being the switches. But even decentralized setups use switches if the company operates internationally.


14 posted on 10/13/2025 8:55:37 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("Whatsoever he shall say to you, do ye." (John 2:5))
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To: SeekAndFind

Okay; if the data centers can be discounted as part of the driving force for the economy, so can the automobile industry.

Take the auto industry out, and the economy would shrink.

Heck, take out the housing market, and we’d be depression territory.

A lot of what’s driven economic growth for the last 50+ years has been the technology sector, with IT/Computers being a major part of that sector. without them, we wouldn’t even have advanced to what the world is today.


15 posted on 10/13/2025 9:10:49 AM PDT by adorno ( )
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To: Pete Dovgan
When you think about how many government jobs Trump eliminated, and the decrease in Federal spending that he already accomplished, any economic growth is miraculous.

That's only because some idiot long ago put the wrong sign in front of government spending in the GDP formula. It should be a minus, not a plus!
16 posted on 10/13/2025 6:17:13 PM PDT by Svartalfiar (-)
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