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Trump Leading Harris In All Major Swing-State Polling Averages As Campaign Hits Home Stretch
MSN ^ | OCT 19, 2024 | Ireland Owens

Posted on 10/19/2024 8:19:58 AM PDT by lasereye

Former President Donald Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in all of the top swing states as the end of the presidential race draws closer, according to new RealClearPolitics polling averages.

Trump has a 0.8 point lead pulling 48.3% support across seven key battleground states compared to Harris at 47.5%, according to the polling averages. The Republican presidential nominee is ahead of Harris in the states of Wisconsin, Georgia, Michigan, Arizona, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Nevada.

Trump is ahead of Harris by 11 points among male voters, while Harris is ahead by 15 points among female voters, according to an Oct. 8 poll from the New York Times/Siena College. In the 2020 presidential election, Trump led Biden among both male voters and white voters, according to the Roper Center.

Trump is ahead by 1.4 points at 48.8% in Arizona compared to Harris’ 47.4%, according to RealClearPolitics. President Joe Biden narrowly won against Trump in Arizona in the 2020 election by less than one point, 49.4% to 49.1%, according to Politico. Trump is also leading by 0.5 points at 47.7% in the purple state of Nevada, while Harris is at 47.2%.

Trump is ahead of Harris nationally in the presidential race by two points at 50% to Harris’ 48%, according to a Fox News poll released Wednesday. Many offshore betters are also predicting that Trump will win the election, according to USA Today.

The economy has been ranked as one of the most important issues for voters in this election cycle, according to an Oct. 9. survey from Gallup. The majority of registered voters said they trust Trump to handle the U.S. economy over Harris.

Democrats have been attempting to muster up support for Harris among black voters. Trump is also outdoing Harris among Hispanic male voters nationally.

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: harris; polls; swingstates; trump
Too close for comfort, but it's still better to be ahead than behind. The question is which side will be better at getting voters to the polls.

Recall that the Obama campaign's extremely sophisticated GOTV in 2012 compared to Romney's pedestrian efforts was the difference in that campaign (plus Christie shaking Obama's hand after the hurricane).

GOTV has been the focus of Elon Musk's efforts. If anyone would understand how to gather and use data it's Musk.

1 posted on 10/19/2024 8:19:58 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye
Recall that the Obama campaign's extremely sophisticated GOTV in 2012 compared to Romney's pedestrian efforts

Romney was the designated loser. He was never serious about winning.

2 posted on 10/19/2024 8:24:04 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: lasereye

Within the margin of error and doesn’t take into account dem fraud but the trendline is good. One has to take into account momentum and direction of change over time.


3 posted on 10/19/2024 8:32:58 AM PDT by plain talk
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To: lasereye

According to Steve Turley, early voting is a blood bath for Democrats compared to 2020.

https://www.youtube.com/live/JDqmGEwzn28


4 posted on 10/19/2024 8:45:38 AM PDT by HerrBlucher
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To: lasereye; Al Hitan; Fedora; irishjuggler; Jaded; kalee; markomalley; miele man; Mrs. Don-o; ...

5 posted on 10/19/2024 8:50:51 AM PDT by ebb tide ("The Spirit of Vatican II" is nothing more than a wicked "ideology" of the modernists.)
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To: lasereye

VOTE!! Don’t be lulled into thinking he’s winning.....it has to be TOO BIG TO CHEAT HIM OUT OF IT!!


6 posted on 10/19/2024 8:54:05 AM PDT by Ann Archy (Abortion....... The HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: ebb tide

I believe her.


7 posted on 10/19/2024 8:54:21 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: ebb tide

Kackling Komrade Kamala is telling the truth for once ...


8 posted on 10/19/2024 8:57:15 AM PDT by NorthMountain (... the right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed)
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To: lasereye

This is going to be a complete blowout for Trump.

A Trump landslide is coming.


9 posted on 10/19/2024 8:57:22 AM PDT by sipow
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To: lasereye

...doesn’t matter. She will win them all at 02:00 when the “extra” votes are counted. They need only know how much to “enhance” the vote by to make it seem close but “correct.”

No sense in stealing more than you need. Makes it too obvious “something” happened.

Gotta steal just enough...


10 posted on 10/19/2024 9:19:59 AM PDT by William of Barsoom (In Omnia, Paratus)
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To: sipow

“This is going to be a complete blowout for Trump.

A Trump landslide is coming.”

It should be a blow out. However, there are too many people like the “cat lady” down the street from me who support Harris. That is what prevents this from being a blowout.


11 posted on 10/19/2024 9:20:28 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: ebb tide

Her statement was actually, “Oh, you guys are at the wrong rally.”

There was no thinking about it.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/oh-you-guys-are-at-the-wrong-rally-kamala-harris-counters-hecklers-at-la-crosse-event/ar-AA1ssYDI?ocid=BingNewsSerp


12 posted on 10/19/2024 9:44:01 AM PDT by nralife (Proud Boomer Rube)
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To: lasereye

Meanwhile, Kommila continues trying to “find” her identity.


13 posted on 10/19/2024 9:47:33 AM PDT by Huskrrrr (Alinsky, you magnificent Bastard, I read your book!)
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To: lasereye

The voting machines will fix that.


14 posted on 10/19/2024 12:34:16 PM PDT by Old Yeller (On judgement day, you’ll wish you were biblically correctly, not politically correct.)
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To: lasereye

Source is actually The Daily Caller, carried on the MSN feed.


15 posted on 10/19/2024 1:40:06 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: ebb tide

Let’s hope it’s true, remember the “red wave” flop of 2022.


16 posted on 10/20/2024 12:50:47 PM PDT by Coleus (250K attend the March for Life, no violence, break-ins, stealing of podiums/laptops, etc., peaceful)
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To: plain talk

There are three national polls that have some data collected after Kamala’s disastrous Fox News interview. Trump is leading all three of those polls. I suspect once we get more data post-interview, the polls will continue to move towards Trump. NBC touted an exclusive one-on-one interview with Kamala the other night. She couldn’t answer a single question, even to a favorable media outfit.


17 posted on 10/20/2024 1:07:34 PM PDT by flair2000
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To: plain talk

There are three national polls that have some data collected after Kamala’s disastrous Fox News interview. Trump is leading all three of those polls. I suspect once we get more data post-interview, the polls will continue to move towards Trump. NBC touted an exclusive one-on-one interview with Kamala the other night. She couldn’t answer a single question, even to a favorable media outfit.


18 posted on 10/20/2024 1:07:34 PM PDT by flair2000
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To: flair2000

Sorry for the double post, not sure how I did that.


19 posted on 10/20/2024 1:08:26 PM PDT by flair2000
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To: flair2000

Yes. The key is the trendline in the last weeks of an election.


20 posted on 10/20/2024 1:11:14 PM PDT by plain talk
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