Wargaming the Electoral College for 2024: Is Pelosi Sharpening Her Knives for Harris?

The Polymarket betting odds quickly tilted so heavily in Donald Trump's favor — bettors prefer him 60/40 over Kamala Harris this morning — that Nancy Pelosi just put in another order with Long Knives. She ordered two sets, one for doing in Harris and the second for Tim Walz.

I'm kidding, of course. It's much too late (I think) to pull yet another presidential candidate switcheroo. But you'd better believe it's a notion Pelosi entertained last night while finishing off her first bottle of chardonnay.

Her latest pitch is to black men, who ought to be a lock this late in the campaign. Nevertheless, Harris is out there promising $20,000 small business loans to black men — forgivable loans, i.e., bribes. She's also apparently given up appealing to white moderates. On Monday, she entertained notions of multitrillion-dollar reparations. Reparations are something that "has to be studied," she told Charlamagne Tha God on his podcast.

Harris is on track to do worse with black voters than any Democrat presidential candidate since 1960, before LBJ locked them in "for 200 years."

That's the political version of what the entertainment industry calls flop sweat — the moment you realize you've lost the audience and you're alone up there on the stage, sweating profusely, saying and doing anything to win them back.

Nate Silver conceded yesterday that it's a 50/50 election, and given some of his recent flights of fancy (that's a column for another day), I'd guesstimate that actually means Trump is nearly outside the margin of cheating.

But only nearly.

For the record, I am not getting cocky. I still believe election night will come down to the wire and that the longer it goes on, the more chances Democrats will have to cheat in places like Philadelphia, Fulton County, Ga., and all the rest of the usual suspects.

Yes, Harris is flailing. But in a close election, flailing might work.

One last thing. I came across this X item yesterday and had to share it with you.

I’ve said since Biden withdrew that with a few months left I couldn’t imagine anything big that would break in Trump’s favor. I can’t think of anything that has.

Safe money is 2020+NC. But if it falls apart for Trump—& it’s starting to feel like it is—this could be the map. pic.twitter.com/xvatAgAGtc— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) October 15, 2024

Georgia and North Carolina going for Harris? Sure, well within the realm of possibility. Same goes for Nevada and perhaps Arizona. Texas, Ohio, and Alaska? That's some mighty fine meth you've got there. But the *chef's kiss* for "fairness" goes to making South Carolina the one state too close to call in this scenario.

It could be a real squeaker there in S.C, folks.

polymarket.com/elections

Electoral College totals
Donald Trump
59.7%
Up 2.6%

Kamala Harris
40.2%
Down 2.4%

Popular Vote
Trump
37%
Down 0%

Harris
63%
Down 0%

overall
Presidency R
60%
Senate R
80%

House D
Dem
51%

kamaLa: Black men, hear ye, hear me. Since you're black and you're men, well, I don't want to hear you mansplain anything to me because I'm already the Vice pResident, soon to be your pResident. And I'm a strong woman of color, so I don't need your vote to become pResident, I can do it all on my own without your help, or Barack's help or Willie's help or Bill's help or Montel's help or George's help. I don't need none of your help. I'm a strong proud woman of color who made it to the top on her own. Women Power! People think O'Biden's been pResident for the last 4 years, well, think again. O'Biden was always a left of center more moderate type of Democrat as a Senator for 40 years. But did you notice how the last 4 years has been extremely far-left communist/fascist/socialist? I did that. Of course, under the tutelage of Democrat power-brokers Nancy Pelosi, Barry Soetoro, Bill & Hillary. And our entire communist/fascist/socialist DNC enterprise is funded by many extremist left-wing multi-billionaires led by Soros (the master-planner). We all decided a long, long time ago to stop pussy-footing around and just go All-Out Commie on Our Amerika. That's why you see proud-and-loud DNC commies such as The Squad, me, Maxine Waters, Barry Soetoro, AOC, Jasmine Crockett, and Taempon Tim. I especially liked when Taempon Tim knelt down in front of me, kissed my ring, and promised me that he would be the best "Masculines for kamaLa" role model for all feminist men such as my husband Dougie. Feminist men are the new black. Anyway, I don't need any man's help to become pResident (I'm actually already the pResident even though O'Biden still doesn't realize it). So in closing, I don't need your help, black men, and I'll close by saying that I'm hereby offering you $20 Billion in cash (i.e., 1 million forgivable government $20,000 loans that I'm giving solely to black men to start businesses). And don't let the term "loan" confuse you (wink, wink). To sum up, I promise to give you $20 Billion in forgivable "loans," but I don't need your help to get elected. Got that? (wink, wink)

Yours joyfully,
Kama-Kama-Kama-Kama-Kama-Kameleon

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.