Posted on 10/12/2024 3:30:13 PM PDT by nwrep
Comparison of early vote by mail stats from NC:
2024: 331,940 (D 35.4%; R 25.3%)
2020: 1,386,380 (D 46.7%; R 19.3%)
The Republican deficit in vote by mail has narrowed from 27% in 2020 to 10% today. The trend favoring R continues 24 days from the election.
Good news.
BTTT
That’s awesome an I think the even bigger news is that overall requests are down about 80%. The 2020 number is with 24 days left sane as now.
Now do 2008 when the communists first used voting-by-mail to take over the federal government.
That’s awesome an I think the even bigger news is that overall requests are down about 80%. The 2020 number is with 24 days left sane as now.
Xxxxxxxxxxxxx
So, how many of those 2020 dem mail in ballot request came in after the polls closed November 3, 2020?
NC was their backup state in 2020, only 75k votes separation, but this time it isn’t looking so close
10% now is 33,000 votes.
27% of 1.386 million is 374,000 in 2020. Big difference.
No way 2024 was going to be anywhere near 2020. No Covid lock downs etc..
How does this compare to 16?
The only issue is there are more unaffiliated voters now requesting mail ins
Even more then Dems
This may mean that many Former Dems just become independents and still are requesting mail ins
Or something else is up
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Michael Pruser
@MichaelPruser
Some questions about the large number of “Others” in NC.
North Carolina does not have automatic voter registration, and it is unusual to see such a significant percentage of unaffiliated voters leading up to Election Day.
More unusually, most new unaffiliated voters do not provide additional data. They do not select a gender or race; it’s mostly a blank demographic application.
However, NC provides a complete voter registration file every Saturday, so this morning, I sorted all of the newly registered voters this year that left all demographic fields, including party, blank.
The names and addresses of these registrations fit in well with the rest of North Carolina; you’ll find a plethora of Mary-Jo Thompsons and Terry Taggerts. They’re evenly spread out across the state; it appears to be statewide.
I’ll have to speak with a few election administrators to find out why so many new registrations are coming in this way, but based on an initial look, it feels innocuous.
https://x.com/MichaelPruser/status/1842569749856727221
I have found that the most effective way of determining which party is in trouble is by looking at the black vote. North Carolina, like all of the southern states, is required to track race in their voter file. Mail in requests and early voting numbers for black voters are way down in NC this year compared to white voters. The whiter the NC electorate, the higher chance for Trump to win.
I am literally praying for all the folks in North Carolina who are working to make sure that votes can be cast by all the people in the disaster areas. People working on restoring communications, power, roads, voting locations, getting mail-in ballots to and from the voters, etc.
We’ll be voting early in NC!
I hope Trump can carry Robinson over the finish line …
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