LOL -- This is the RCP scorecard of pollsters in past elections.
Notice first that Fox News ranked 13th worst out of 20 pollsters in 2020, almost as bad a CNN and Quinnipiac at the bottom.
And of course they all skewed left.
More conservatives Rasmussen and Trafalgar were among the best in 2020.
Then in the 2022 midterms, Fox and CNN shot up near the topmost accurate, while conservatives Rasmussen and Trafalgar fell near the bottommost inaccurate -- what happened?
Nobody knows, nor can anyone say for sure if 2024 will be more like the 2020 presidential or the 2022 midterms.
Reasonably, you'd think it's more like 2020, which could make Rasmussen & Trafalgar more accurate.
But in this day and age, who can really say?
I notice now that New York Times/Sienna is showing the popular vote tied.
In 2020 they skewed 5-points left, but in 2022 they nearly nailed the outcome.
Take your pick.
It will be like the Arizona gubernatorial election in ‘22. Same strategy, same result.