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New poll shows Florida, Texas within margin of error in Harris-Trump race
The Hill ^ | 09/06/2024 | Jared Gans

Posted on 09/06/2024 10:33:53 AM PDT by thegagline

click here to read article


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To: thegagline

I stopped reading at Emerson


41 posted on 09/06/2024 11:14:20 AM PDT by DaiHuy (I support LGBTQ. (Lets Get Biden to Quit.))
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To: thegagline
Don't be Stuck on Stupid.

These polls are meant to get weak minded people's panties twisted.

Zero chance that the dems will win Texas or Florida this cycle.

Sorry, no matter how much you dislike President Trump, this gutter garbage is easily dismissed as a liberal wet dream.

42 posted on 09/06/2024 11:16:53 AM PDT by Pox (Eff You China. Buy American!)
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To: thegagline

Too bad Tulsi is a liberal democrat from Hawaii. She is a cute Milf though. She is much prettier and doesn’t smell like alcohol all the time like old kamalala does.


43 posted on 09/06/2024 11:17:23 AM PDT by armourenthusiast (I capitalize everything related to South)
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To: thegagline

I do think White Females are breaking largely for Harris, sadly but modern day women cannot be trusted for the most part.


44 posted on 09/06/2024 11:17:30 AM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: kaktuskid

Great! now when do the Comrade Harris tv ads go up and when does she come down to Florida and open her campaign office in Broward County? And maybe the rodents can find a way to recycle the 1 million fake voters that came off Texas’s voter rolls.
Florida Republicans out number rodents by over one million.

This is a pathetic hustle for business by a failing polling firm.


45 posted on 09/06/2024 11:18:20 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
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To: thegagline

RCP average as of today is 1.8 Bidens lead on September 5 was 6.9 and Clinton’s lead was 3.3 in other words despite your best hopes these leads aren’t enough for your girl to win the election


46 posted on 09/06/2024 11:19:15 AM PDT by Lod881019
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To: dpetty121263

White males are breaking for Trump in equal numbers just ask cnn


47 posted on 09/06/2024 11:20:14 AM PDT by Lod881019
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To: Political Junkie Too

In other words cause the electorate is 52-48 Trump is ahead in both states by about 5 points


48 posted on 09/06/2024 11:21:24 AM PDT by Lod881019
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To: Lod881019

Women outnumber men just saying.


49 posted on 09/06/2024 11:27:14 AM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: Political Junkie Too

Another reason is that most men will not respond to the pollsters. I know I haven’t


50 posted on 09/06/2024 11:28:01 AM PDT by 38special (The government is ruining our country!)
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To: dpetty121263

It’s 52-48 electorally not 9 and 11 points respectively as the Emerson poll says it is


51 posted on 09/06/2024 11:30:07 AM PDT by Lod881019
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To: Fury

Trump has in 2016 and 2020 done 4 to 5 points better in the election than the polls in many states. In no cases has he done worse than the polling
.

It is safe to say this poll is wrong


52 posted on 09/06/2024 11:31:17 AM PDT by Fai Mao (The US government is run by pedophiles and Perverts for pedophiles and perverts.)
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To: Fury
But best to verify all poll methodologies (or “mythologies” as a friend once said).

Most of the time it is impossible to verify poll methodologies. The consistent feature is a small sample which is weight adjusted by a model. The weights and other adjustments are proprietary, and the research firms change them constantly.

Adjusting the models can make a given sample data set reach any desired conclusion by changing a few arbitrary parameters.

Polls released to the public show the results that their sponsors want them to show.

53 posted on 09/06/2024 11:31:53 AM PDT by flamberge (The future belongs to those who show up for it.)
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To: thegagline

Tulsi Gabbard would have been a better pick for Vice President if winning the general election was the goal.

Tulsi is a democrat so NO!


54 posted on 09/06/2024 11:36:25 AM PDT by Gary from Dayton (Army Vet 1986-1991 unburdened by what I was burdened by before.)
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To: Gary from Dayton

Tulsi WAS a democrat, then she left the party. Just like Reagan, just like Trump .


55 posted on 09/06/2024 11:38:45 AM PDT by 38special (The government is ruining our country!)
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To: usafa92

“Trump will win Texas by approximately 10 points and Florida by 8 points. Do you have any idea how big that is? That’s about 800K votes in Florida amd 1M in Texas.”

In 2020, Trump won Texas by 5.58% and he won Florida by 3.36%. His margin was about 630k votes in Texas and a bit under 400k votes in Florida.

This year, Trump certainly has to be considered the favorite in Texas and Florida, just as Harris has to be considered the favorite in Minnesota. These states are generally considered to be red, red, and blue, respectively. Nevertheless, they’re all close enough that a flip wouldn’t be out of the question.


56 posted on 09/06/2024 11:41:12 AM PDT by Eagle Forgotten
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To: thegagline

This is a retread of 2016, where Hillary was only 3 pts. behind in Texas.

She lost by 9 pts.


57 posted on 09/06/2024 11:42:29 AM PDT by TheWriterTX (🇺🇸✝️🙏🇮🇱)
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To: nbenyo
I guess Texas women love all the migrants and want millions more

It's all those Californians moving here following the jobs.

58 posted on 09/06/2024 11:47:06 AM PDT by eastexsteve
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To: eastexsteve
It's all those Californians moving here following the jobs.


59 posted on 09/06/2024 11:47:53 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: kaktuskid

They have California 60-36 and tied nationally. The numbers could be from 45-56 range...just a headline grabber.


60 posted on 09/06/2024 11:48:46 AM PDT by wiseprince (Me)
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