Predictors also point to more than normal dust blowing west off of Africa, sucking up moisture in the air. Satellite imagery seems to validate that, but I can’t attest to the accuracy of those images.
So?
Rain is water vapor that has clung to dust enough to fall out of the sky by gravity.
Bastardi mentioned the cooling happening in the Atlantic over this past weekend. As far as the dust argument, he said it is non a factor.
I posted a comment about the declining sea temps in Atlantic yesterday ironically. The temps are still much above what would be considered “average”. Why and when hurricanes form is a complicated matter. Obviously given the number of predictions of a massive season this year could be over blown, pun, but it only takes one where you are to make your life miserable for a while.
Lastly, the core of the hurricane season is still 75% ahead of us. Peaks around Sept 12th or so. If things are still quiet around that time, I would suggest the fanfare of a hype season was wrong. But note, Hurricane Andrew landed in So Florida as a category 5 storm on August 24th! in 92. It was the first named storm of that year. We are at number 5 already.