Posted on 08/18/2024 6:17:20 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
The ascension of Kamala Harris to the top of the Democratic ticket has bolstered the party’s chances of keeping control of the White House for another four years, but the effect on House races is much less clear.
Since replacing President Biden as the Democrats’ likely nominee, the vice president has delivered a bolt of energy to a deflated base, sparking a boost in grassroots enthusiasm, a spike in campaign fundraising and fresh hopes that Democrats can keep former President Trump from a second term.
But if the roster change has shifted the electoral college and other state-level races towards Democrats, the impact is much more murky in the House, where gerrymandering is routine, polling is less reliable and outcomes are complicated by the penchant of some voters to split the ticket to bring a balance of power to Washington — a trend that’s forecast to be more pronounced this year than in cycles of the recent past.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
The Hill is whistling in the dark.
Bolstered?
Anyone would have bolstered their chances when compared to Biden.
Nah, she is only ahead because she has to be sold as being ahead for reasons we all are aware of.
It is easier to cheat fix the POTUS candidate at the top of the ticket than it is hundreds of House and Senate races in all the states.
Many aspects of the economy will flatline with Kamunist Whoreizontal Harris and Totalitarian Tim in charge.
This is the way.
IneligibleHarris drags down the entire D party ticket. Congress, state, and local.
That is my fondest hope. Time to clean house.
right now it looks like you will get your wish (lots and lots of D party candidates being dragged down by IneligibleHarris being on the ticket)
they still COULD select a salable candidate that could attract more votes than Harris repels
and those that pull the strings at the DNC are not stupid, they realize this
so....holding breath here until after the DemoNaziCommie convention
Yes, murky. Thanks for clearing that up.
Hopefully true Conservatives are being elected. No RINOs.
Exactly. The DNC may very well pull Harris & Walz.
That happened in 2020 because the the industrial-scale cheating was focused on the Presidential election. This article reads like a cover story for more cheating.
The polls changed their turnout models. The electorate did not change.
Those polls that did no or minimal change to turnout model did not move, and those that did — moved within MOE. That does not mean the score is tied. It means that the turnout model changes had tiny effects that much is being made of, that “tiny” word means numerically within MOE.
There was an avalanche of polls on RCP within the past month that had not published previously. There was no way to compare them. They were published to provide hype.
Example: SurveyUSA. Published early Aug. Nothing before that. Ditto Daily Kos and Marquette. If you scroll down RCP you get the most recent 12 polls, and if you scroll down even farther you get polls for almost the whole year. You Can Compare pre Harris To Post Harris in a given poll. And those polls did not appear on the list Pre Harris, so you can’t. They are just piling into the RCP recent average. And the biggest numbers were already anti Trump before the turnout model adjustment.
if the DNC party machine bosses are half as smart as I think, they will find a couple of attractive, salable candidates without all the negatives of IneligibleHarris
but there have been some pundits saying that they might have trapped themselves into a corner... how to smoothly replace a supposedly “black” and female candidate without being accused of being racist and sexist?
“Oh what a tangled web we weave, when first we practice to deceive.” Walter Scott
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