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We Will Know The Iranians Have Nukes When They Tell UsAnd We Won't Know Where They Are
https://andmagazine.substack.com ^ | 8/5/2024 | Sam Faddis

Posted on 08/05/2024 11:55:30 AM PDT by bitt

The prevailing logic regarding the Iranian nuclear weapons program is this. The Iranians are on the verge of having sufficient highly enriched uranium (HEU) to make several nuclear weapons. After they acquire this material they will then have to engineer the nuclear weapons into which this HEU will be placed. At some point in this process, the Israelis will stage a preemptive strike and eliminate the threat. It will all be fine.

3 min video Iran testing nuke?

Why? Why do we assume that the Iranians will act this way? They know as well as we do that the Israelis are prepared to strike first. Is it likely then that they will proceed in a fashion that will allow the Israelis, or for that matter, the United States to eliminate an Iranian nuclear weapons threat? Isn’t it much more likely that the boys in charge in Tehran have thought this through and made their own plans?

The Iranians have been working on nuclear weapons for decades.

Throughout that time period, there has been extensive reporting on their efforts to solve the engineering problems associated with nuclear weapons. This includes work on solving the complex issues related to getting an implosion device to function properly and not just blow itself apart and fail.

The Iranians have extensive contacts with both the Chinese and the North Koreans. These are both nuclear powers. Isn’t it entirely possible that Iranian nuclear weapons will be copies of existing proven designs from one of these nations? Building a weapon from a template significantly simplifies the process as we saw with the Soviets. They stole everything that wasn’t nailed down from the Manhattan Project and closed the nuclear weapons gap with us in a matter of a few years. Their first bomb was effectively a carbon copy of one we had built.

The Iranians have a massive arsenal of ballistic missiles. Do we think they built all these without giving any thought to which one they would use to carry a nuclear warhead? Isn’t it much more likely that the bombs they will build will match precisely with the known dimensions of the capsule on an existing missile?

In short, shouldn’t we at least consider the possibility that as soon as the Iranians have the HEU they need they will be able to assemble and launch a nuke within a very, very short period of time?

...more


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KEYWORDS: iranians; nukes
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1 posted on 08/05/2024 11:55:30 AM PDT by bitt
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To: null and void; aragorn; EnigmaticAnomaly; kalee; Kale; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; bgill; bitt; ...

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2 posted on 08/05/2024 11:55:44 AM PDT by bitt (<img src=' 'width=30%>)
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To: bitt

After the election in 2008, when W was fixin’ to vacate the White House, I figured he would do the right thing and destroy the Iranian nuclear facilities. Instead, he kicked the can down the road...


3 posted on 08/05/2024 12:00:42 PM PDT by Who is John Galt? ("...mit Pulver und Blei, Die Gedanken sind frei!")
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To: bitt

They will glow in the dark........


4 posted on 08/05/2024 12:00:46 PM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: bitt

They probably already have the Nuke, we just don’t know about it yet. My guess is some Palestinian is going to walk into Israel and unleash hell. I pray I’m wrong.


5 posted on 08/05/2024 12:05:22 PM PDT by TermLimits4All ("If you stand for nothing, you'll fall for anything.")
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To: bitt

They’ve had them for a while. That’s my guess. Delivery systems are another matter altogether.


6 posted on 08/05/2024 12:05:57 PM PDT by Vermont Lt (Don’t vote for anyone over 70 years old. Get rid of the geriatric politicians.)
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To: bitt

The Iranians have been a week away from having a nuke for 25 years. 🙄


7 posted on 08/05/2024 12:07:26 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: TermLimits4All

With the tunnels destroyed they’ll have to fly it in which complicates delivery which buys a little time but not much.


8 posted on 08/05/2024 12:08:06 PM PDT by Manic_Episode (A government of the government, by the government, for the government)
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To: bitt
We Will Know The Iranians Have Nukes When They Tell Us Use Them And We Won't Will Know Where They Are
9 posted on 08/05/2024 12:08:10 PM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: bitt

We may find out another way.

I think the nuclear threat is what this whole war in The Middle East is really about. Israel knows and is trying to close the tunnels and create a land barrier between themselves and possible hostiles that could detonate a bomb on or near their border.


10 posted on 08/05/2024 12:10:19 PM PDT by McCarthysGhost
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To: bitt

A military friend told me once “a mushroom cloud is a signal.”


11 posted on 08/05/2024 12:11:28 PM PDT by Steely Tom ([Voter Fraud] == [Civil War])
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To: Red Badger

They will glow in the dark........

The Mad Mullahs will welcome it, as it will help the 12th Imam climb out of the Well he crawled into in the 7th Century. He will go on to exterminate all of humanity, aka send everyone to Paradise.

Using nukes is their goal, since it fits with their Shia 12er “religion”. Glowing is a small price for them to pay, they believe.


12 posted on 08/05/2024 12:12:05 PM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: Who is John Galt?

[After the election in 2008, when W was fixin’ to vacate the White House, I figured he would do the right thing and destroy the Iranian nuclear facilities. Instead, he kicked the can down the road...]


They were threatening to impeach him if he did so. Trump had 4 years to do this, punted, perhaps for similar reasons.


13 posted on 08/05/2024 12:23:16 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room)
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To: bitt

“Why do we assume that the Iranians will act this way? They know as well as we do that the Israelis are prepared to strike first. Is it likely then that they will proceed in a fashion that will allow the Israelis, or for that matter, the United States to eliminate an Iranian nuclear weapons threat? Isn’t it much more likely that the boys in charge in Tehran have thought this through and made their own plans? “

The author is a dumbass.

HEU can be detected at great distances. It can’t be hidden except deep, deep underground and becomes immediately visible once on the surface.

IF Iran had the means to make a plutonium bomb, then we should be worried about them doing so secretly. It only has about a 50ft detection distance.


14 posted on 08/05/2024 12:32:41 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: bitt

The prevailing logic regarding the Iranian nuclear weapons program is this. The Iranians are on the verge of having sufficient highly enriched uranium (HEU) to make several nuclear weapons. After they acquire this material they will then have to engineer the nuclear weapons into which this HEU will be placed. At some point in this process, the Israelis will stage a preemptive strike and eliminate the threat. It will all be fine.

Xxxxxxxxxxxxx

The ME situation present kamala a big decision on putting sharpiro on the ticket


15 posted on 08/05/2024 12:37:48 PM PDT by thinden (buckle up ....)
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To: PIF

That’s right. There is no Mutually Assured Destruction deterrent with them.


16 posted on 08/05/2024 12:42:24 PM PDT by laplata (They want each crisis to take the greatest toll possible.)
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To: bitt

NUKE Tehran NOW


17 posted on 08/05/2024 12:44:51 PM PDT by Democrat = party of treason
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To: bitt
We will know the Iranian regime has nukes when they set one off over Israel.
There will be no nonsense about ultimatums or deterrence.
18 posted on 08/05/2024 1:02:57 PM PDT by Salman (It's not a slippery slope if it was part of the program all along. )
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To: PIF

Christ comes back in the clouds.

Their guy crawls out of a hole in the ground.....................


19 posted on 08/05/2024 1:10:31 PM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Red Badger
Jamkaran Mosque at night (Qom, Iran)



Meanwhile, out back, the faithful Muslims drop notes down a well to the 12th Imam - the Mahdi (no joke)
20 posted on 08/05/2024 1:14:20 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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