[lasereye]

Teixeira is a lifelong Democrat. He cowrote a book The Emerging Democratic Majority in 2002, arguing that the Democratic Party are demographically destined to become a majority party in the United States of the early 21st century. I believe he has since concluded that the analysis was wrong.

[Publius]

I believe he has since concluded that the analysis was wrong.

Correct.

Teixera discovered that when these Democratic Party demographics assimilate, they start thinking like Republicans.

[ClearCase_guy]

To the extent Harris has talked about issues other than abortion, “democracy is on the ballot,”

In 1973, 7 guys in black robes made a sweeping judicial decision out of whole cloth that changed the legal status of abortion in the US for every man, woman and unborn child. Nothing remotely democratic about that.

Then the Supreme Court re-visited this with Dobbs and determined that the federal government should not be making such decisions. They returned the matter of abortion to the 50 states so that voters in each state -- all the men and women who show up for state elections to have their voices heard -- they could decide at a state-level how abortion should be handled where they live. It's the definition of democracy.

Liberal women understand none of this.

[know.your.why]

Two words I’m newly familiar with: “Populism” and “Ameritocracy”

[ncalburt]

American Blue Collar can relate to a
Canadian Indian Brahmin elitist like Camel Toe .
Sure right.

[BenLurkin]

“It’s a Working-Class Election” sounds about as Hype-ish as it can get.

[jocon307]

Read this earlier today, it’s very good. The linked pieces are good too.

[dowcaet]

Sorry Ruy, but this isn’t the beginning of the Clinton era when the Democrats were the working-class party and the GOP was for the elites. Now the tables have turned because of Trump. Giggles acts and talks like the elitist west coast liberal she is. Working class people of all races identify more with Trump than with her, and that will become very evident in this election cycle.

[KingofZion]

I would disagree with the premise, and in fact it is belied by the substitution of Harris for Biden.

The rats have already written off the working class voters. They have been trending towards the GOP ever since the Reagan era, and Trump succeeded in bringing them into the GOP fold more or less permanently. Dumping Scranton Joe for Kamala will actually send more working class voters to Trump.

The only way for the rats to win is to increase their edge with suburban voters and particularly suburban women. Trump snagged just enough of these voters to win key states in 2016, but he lost them in 2020. After 4 years of Biden they were trending back to Trump until this week.

I hate to deliver the bad news but Kamala actually has more appeal to the suburbs and obviously to women than Biden did. Hence the immediate bump in polling numbers. Kamala will bring GA, NC, AZ and NV back into play, which will allow her to lose MI, WI or PA to Trump (though plenty of suburban voters in these states).

These voters care about inflation, crime and to a lesser extent immigration (they like having cheap gardeners, maids and fast food). Trump needs to hammer Kamala these issues and simply remind people - were you better off 4 years ago (before COVID) or now?

[ealgeone]

Biden did not bow out....he was forced out in the best traditions of the Communists.

[NorthMountain]

how working-class (noncollege) voters move will likely determine the outcome of the 2024 election.

Far more important: how the dead, illegal, and fictitious voters move ...

[CFW]

The media is once again trying to gas-light us and pretend that the voters are all suddenly enthusiastic over Kamala Harris. To believe them, Trump supporters are changing their minds now and moving to support her. That change would make absolutely no sense and I don't believe a word of it.

Also as usual, the polls are meant to form opinions instead of inform AS TO opinions. As an example, there is an article out today, "WDIV/Detroit News survey found the presidential race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is dead even at 41%-41%."

From the article:

"Other key findings from the survey:

Among men, Trump holds a wide lead of 50.3%-35.3%, with 8.0% of men going to Kennedy – a Trump lead of 15.0% among men. But among women, Harris leads 47.4%-33.0%, with 11.2% going to Kennedy – a Harris lead of 14.4% among women.

Among African American voters, 82.1% support Harris, 11.5% support Kennedy, no black voters in this survey supported Trump."

--------------

Now how slanted does the poll have to be if they found absolutely no black person who says they support Trump? None? Not one? It seems to me that the pollsters carefully selected those polled in order to get the result they wanted. Maybe they called people selected from an ActBlue donation list. The article can be found here:

WDIV/Detroit News survey

"Poll methodology:

The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a Michigan statewide survey of November 2024 likely general election voters. The 600 sample, live operator telephone survey was conducted on July 22-24, 2024 and has a margin of error of +/-4.0% with a 95% level of confidence. 17.8% of respondents were contacted via landline telephone. 82.2% of respondents were contacted via cell phone telephone. This survey was commissioned by WDIV Local 4 News and the Detroit News."