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You are either oriented on terrain or the enemy.

Russia achieved most of their territorial ambitions and achieved their political goal of blocking NATO ascension by Ukraine.

At this point, Russia is more oriented on the enemy. They want to prevent Ukraine from building up a force that can be used in any counter offensive, BUT they also need to create a cost for us in not ending this. So they will keep the pressure on and Ukraine will get damaged more and more with ZERO chance of any betterment of their situation in continuing the war.

IMHO, the true timeline for this conflict is driven by the US and our national politics. Trying to figure that out, I originally thought we would bring this to a close before the elections. However, seeing that this isn’t really hurting Biden or the Democrats (evil, mentally ill, madman Putin is at fault: silly but essentially what people have been told to think), the end will come after the elections specific to Ukraine.

What is interesting is that at this point, our Euro partners are realizing that this war is part of a grand geo-political strategy: https://youtu.be/gk7D_TliAuE?si=WitBtg2hSSDYGrlS (Austria: and for him to say that, it had to have been approved starting at 14:30 or so).

Also IMHO, by the time this war ends, there is a good chance NATO will be seriously damaged. Between pipelines and an unnecessary war we caused as part of a grand plan the Euros are supposed to help pay for but we solely benefit from, NATO is losing its luster.

We over played our hand and gambled really big.