-——a lot of black voters-—
There is the fallacy in your thoughts.
If only a few of the Afro Heritage Black Minority-Majority vote for Trump and become part of the black Afro Heritage Minority-Minority, the difference will decide the election.
The Black vote decides the domination of the City States over the States. If a few Black minority-majority voters change their traditional irrational votes to rational black minority-minority the City STate is lost. The Democrat party is lost.
[If a few Black minority-majority voters change their traditional irrational votes to rational black minority-minority the City STate is lost.]