Especially if the situation in Kharkiv continues to deteriorate
French will be first
Kharkiv in 3 days! Lol!
You spelled Kharkov wrong. Lol
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Mikael Valtersson
@MikaelValterss1
NEWS ANALYSIS KHARKOV FRONT, 12:30 MAY 10th 2024
There is massive activity among both Russian and Ukrainian social media accounts about what’s happening on the Kharkov front. Ukrainian sources claim that RuAF has failed to break through Ukrainian defence lines and some Russian accounts talk about taking settlements and advances.
But what is actually happening on the ground and who is right? Well, both sides could both be right and wrong at the same time. First of all, there is no massive Russian advance, just reconnaissance in force and clearing of the border area, at some places, on the Ukrainian side of the border.
The main Ukrainian defence line is situated 5-10 km from the border and there are no Russian attempts to break through it, so the Ukrainians are right when they say that the Russians haven’t broken through.
At the same time Russian claims to have taken some settlements on the border might be true, but these settlements are no longer settlements but just some ruins and stones on the ground.
So even if RuAF might have captured Strilcha (1 on map 2) situated on the border this is no big victory. Russian forces need to reach places like Lypchi (2) or Volchansk (3) to be seen to have made real progress in the area.
This operation is probably, at the present stage, mostly aimed at establishing an up to 5 km deep buffer zone on the Ukrainian side of the border, to make future Ukrainian incursions impossible, at least in this 40-60 km broad area.
But the fog of war is thick.
The first map is from
@rybar_force
but not from X, but their Telegram channels.
https://twitter.com/MikaelValterss1/status/1788888804624830861
If you weren’t paying attention, that potential situation was dealt with on Monday and Tuesday. Macron was doing his usual yapping about French deployment, Hakeem Jeffries had just floated the prospect of U.S. troops going in and Cameron was boasting that the Ukes (really Brit “advisors”) could fire their Storm Shadows into Russia proper. Putin reacted by immediately starting tactical nuclear weapons drills in the theater with Belarus quickly joining in. Both the French and British ambassadors were called in and dressed down. The unambiguous red line was given to NATO, boots on the ground means immediate crossing of the nuclear threshold and Britain was told any British base in Europe could be retaliated against if the Storm Shadows were used inside Russia. Tuesday the entirety of NATO was falling over itself trying walk back the idea of NATO boots on the ground.
You can put that idea to bed, there will be no NATO deployment.
French will be first
A most curious "flip" by Macron when he came out with that. But has France backed the "threat" up with, say, tripled arms support, first? Or is Macron just going to dare the Russians to attack French troops?
Shouldn’t the bibbed one warn them not too?