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Nice thought but not happening
1 posted on 04/05/2024 10:40:47 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

You’d have to be smoking hunter bidens crack pipe to think trump has a chance of winning nj.


2 posted on 04/05/2024 10:42:33 AM PDT by mrmeyer (You can't conquer a free man; the most you can do is kill him. Robert Heinlein)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Book by John Kenneth Galbraith The Liberal Hour (1960) which I read at the time said the voters generally start to act unsure but when the curtain is closed in the voting booth they vote Democrat in “the liberal hour” by themselves.

True for most of the 1960s.

I believe New Jersey residents will do the same, sadly.


3 posted on 04/05/2024 10:47:34 AM PDT by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

IMO it would be noteworthy if reliable polls show The Big Guy leading DJT by margins substantially lower than his margin of victory in 2020. For example: The Big Guy beat DJT by 20 points in Illinois in 2020 yet he only leads DJT by 10 points next September.


4 posted on 04/05/2024 10:49:39 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Proudly Clinging To My Guns And My Religion)
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To: ChicagoConservative27
Bush almost won Minnesota in 2004 and Trump was close in 2016.

I'm not sure what the demographics are in New Jersey. It will give us a good idea of why they're dissatisfied with Biden. Even if it's a bad year, Biden will still win NJ 52-48.

5 posted on 04/05/2024 10:50:54 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I live here. I support the guy. But I don’t know. Numerically in a FAIR ELECTION we could go Trump. But Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Mercer, Bergen, Middlesex counties are solid blue controlled by DemocRat political machines. In any close election, the Rats can ALWAYS “FIND” just enough “missing” ballots to carry them through. BESIDES the GOP is gutless and if they find their balls, Democrat appointed judges like EndMoron and Kookookan always deny them. Worse comes to worse they will import voters from the Rotten Apple - NY Ciry.


9 posted on 04/05/2024 10:52:50 AM PDT by ZULU (LAKEN REILLY - SAY HER NAME!!! JONATHAN DILLAR SAY HIS NAME!!!! ASHLEY BABBIT ' SAY HER NAME!!!!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

they keep polling with kennedy on ballot, but I think he has only qualified for the ballot in one non important state.


11 posted on 04/05/2024 10:55:09 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Send in the bus loads of illegals. They need some of the diversity they support.


12 posted on 04/05/2024 10:56:29 AM PDT by Organic Panic (Democrats. Memories as short as Joe Biden's eyes.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Nah they want more migrants.


14 posted on 04/05/2024 11:02:14 AM PDT by toddausauras (Trump 2024)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Sounds like NJ doesn’t have enough illegals invading their state.


15 posted on 04/05/2024 11:04:59 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Biden is getting CRUSHED everywhere.

The narrative he’s in a winning posture are laughable at this point. Yes I know election is 7 months away so things can change... but Biden is just getting smashed!

He’s down HUGE EVERYWHERE, not only in the swing states, but even the DEEP BLUE STATES, he’s polling down 10+ points in places like NY and CA etc... and currently the momentum just continues to move Trump with every single poll further and further. If this trend Continues, you may see MN go GOP for the first time in my lifetime. Was less than 45k votes in 16... trending continues, I would expect MN to be in play by November.

Obviously trending can and probably will change, but the narrative that President Potato is doing well is just flat out lies.

He’s lost 20% of his support or so since 2020, so even if you buy that 2020 had no corruption, Biden has lost 20% of his support, while Trump has lost a whopping 3% of his.. and Trump’s is actually higher than he was in 2020 because he’s picked up a lot of what Biden has lost.

Add to that, the fact that 2024 will have 3rd parties on the ballot, when 2020 did not, and math for Biden winning is just not there.

A few tens of thousands of votes in a few states, 3 of which are functionally off the table already mathematically... AZ, GA and NV which was Blue in 20, certainly looks like it will be solid Red in NOV.

So basically Trump needs to just win 1 of PA/MI and WI, and he’s in.... And he’s polling ahead in all 3... Though PA did NOTHING to curb the corruption of 2020, so I would not be surprised that Trump loses PA not because he loses the real vote, but they will fraud it galore since the got away with it in 2020, no reason they wont do it again even more brazenly.

WI however has done many things to stop the hanky panky that went on in 2020, and MI looking good too, though they didn’t do as much a WI.

I don’t see any way Biden has any shot at WI given the clean up of the garbage that wen ton in 2020 and the return of 3rd parties to the ballot.. I just don’t see it.. Not that it will be a blowout there for him, but Biden’s 20.5k vote lead in 2020, no way he can sustain that.

We shall see.. Personally I’d expect the map to look like 16 with NV at least added to the count, on the low end, though as I said NOTHING was done in PA to counter the corruption of 2020 and the PA GOP were active participants in it.. so even though Trump will clearly win based on every indicator I see, he may not carry it anyway, just like 2020 due to the flagrant theft that was allowed here.


16 posted on 04/05/2024 11:07:27 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: ChicagoConservative27

much of NJ isn’t blue, but the plan to empty nyc and many spilled across the Hudson sure didn’t help matters.


17 posted on 04/05/2024 11:07:48 AM PDT by b4me
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Christie should endorse Trump.


19 posted on 04/05/2024 11:21:09 AM PDT by libh8er
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To: ChicagoConservative27

IKR, how many times have we seen this song and dance??


22 posted on 04/05/2024 11:36:26 AM PDT by bantam
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To: ChicagoConservative27

It took over a week to declare Murphy the governor of NJ in the last election. You can never tell.


25 posted on 04/05/2024 11:58:32 AM PDT by mware
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To: ChicagoConservative27

it will be very nice if Mr. Trump can carry New Jersey
but I think that would require an honest election and.. well, NJ is not particularly known for that


28 posted on 04/05/2024 12:22:20 PM PDT by faithhopecharity (“Politicians are not born. They're excreted.” Marcus Tillius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Like NY Jersey will keep its loser because they like being abused


35 posted on 04/05/2024 2:42:31 PM PDT by ronnie raygun
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I’ve heard that before. Don’t believe it.


39 posted on 04/06/2024 1:12:13 AM PDT by EnquiringMind
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