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To: Rockingham

Here is what I mostly am interested in from this Russian invasion.

The West doesn’t just face Russia in Europe, it faces China as well and while the Russian threat has been neutered for awhile as they need years to rebuild their difficult and almost impossible to replace weapons such as ships, hi-tech aircraft, and armor and artillery, etc. while dealing with holding onto what they are fighting for and pacifying whatever they succeed in conquering, China is growing its global war machine and bases, and capabilities.

Some here are so passionate about making the case for Russia’s invasion and against the West and American military readiness that they have decided that China isn’t a threat either, and that none of this has anything to do with being prepared for China, or even how having Russia so tied up and weakened in its ability to fight first tier militaries hurts China’s ability to tie up NATO assets if we have to fight them, and also how those NATO assets have grown greatly and are growing now as the West is forced to rediscover and supply its war fighting needs.

The West and the Pacific allies and friends have grown closer and have increased military budgets, bases, cooperation, training and weapons manufacturing since Russia’s war launch, NATO is recognizing that it will not be left out of a China war and is taking steps to participate in the Pacific defenses and other areas if war with China breaks out.


90 posted on 04/02/2024 8:05:00 PM PDT by ansel12 ((NATO warrior under Reagan, and RA under Nixon, bemoaning the pro-Russians from Vietnam to Ukraine.))
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To: ansel12
You are correct in your analysis. I think though that China is unlikely to go to war because if they did, they might take Taiwan, but the cost would be considerable and would lead to China's commercial and trade isolation.

Moreover, if China did significant damage to the US, the American public would be furious and out for revenge. As an opening counter-move, China would be stripped of their external assets through US diplomatic, economic, and military action.

From that perspective, China's leadership seems likely to realize that going to war would not improve China's position even if Taiwan were easily taken. As with Germany in 1914, the shrewder choice is to avoid war while continuing to pursue economic and political gains.

104 posted on 04/02/2024 10:39:03 PM PDT by Rockingham (`)
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