I don’t know if Ross Perot is an apples to apples comparison to RFJ Jr, except for the fact that they are 3rd party candidates, and 3rd party candidates always fail miserably in our two party racket.
Ross Perot had money, most of all, but he had a certain sort of charisma, in a cheeky old texas sort of way.
RFK Jr. has the family name, and though he isn’t overly charismatic, he has both the name and a gravitas, particularly with democrats.
OF course, the DNC is going to set out to destroy RFK Jr., simply because of how much a threat he is to them, but here’s the big wild card:
NOBODY LIKES BIDEN!
So 40% of the country HATES Trump, and much of that 40% plus the 30% that call themselves independents want an alternative to Biden because he is old, feeble, and embarrassing.
That’s a huge window.
So Trump has at least 40%+ locked. How much of the independents he can get will be the key, as well as making some inroads with Hispanics and black males.
If Biden has some really embarrassing public falling down moment, or if he locks up and craps the bed at a public speaking event, the door will swing wide open for RFK Jr. and it will turn into a delegate fight in congress. If they can do a Hidin’ Biden like they did in 2020, then it’s going to be a close race, and if RFK Jr. gets even 5% of the vote, it could swing several states Trump’s way without any delegate threats.
But the point is, I think RFK Jr. is a bigger threat than Ross Perot, and the democrats do to. They are already on the attack.
The Democrats aren’t attacking RFK because they’re afraid he will win any states. They’re attacking him because they know he can draw thousands of votes from Biden in key swing states. It’s that simple.