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CIA estimated 50% chance that Russia would nuke Ukraine if it risked losing war
NY Post ^ | 3/10/24 | Ronny Reyes

Posted on 03/11/2024 8:55:37 AM PDT by hardspunned

The Biden administration scrambled behind the scenes to prepare for the imminent possibility that Russia would use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine, a shocking new report revealed.

In 2022, the CIA warned President Biden of a 50% change or higher that Russia would reach for its nuclear arsenal if it found its forces were decimated and the illegally annexed territory of Crimea was at risk, according to the New York Times.

Those reports caused Biden to deliver his famous “Armageddon” speech at an Oct. 6, 2022, fundraiser in New York City, in which he warned, “We have not faced the prospect of Armageddon since Kennedy and the Cuban Missile Crisis.”

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Government; Politics/Elections; Russia; Ukraine; War; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: biden; bidenisputinsally; bidenswar; cia; eussr; fourthreich; hehasnochoice; minorincursion; molotovribbentrop; nato; newmolotovribbentrop; nukes; russia; tothelastukrainian; ukraine; vlad; war; weaponizedcia; worldwariii; ww3
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To: hardspunned

I must admit I have had fears of a catastrophically stupid NATO Inchon invasion of Crimea. Good God in Heaven, let this be only the feverish deliriums of a terrified man.

The CIA destablized Ukraine. The CIA had ‘whistleblowers’ try to destroy Donald Trump because he asked questions about the new government and kickbacks to US politicians. The CIA WAS running biolabs in Ukraine. The CIA sponsored the overthrow of the pro-Russian Government in 2014 under Obama. Now, the CIA believes that there is a 50% chance of a Global Thermal Nuclear war because of these actions.....

Crimea is almost completely cut off from Russia. The bridge is now down to traffic. The Black Sea Navy has suffered severe casualties. Shipping of food, arms, and equipment to Crimea is limited, and likely going to get worse. The Ukranians main target may have always been to isolate and take Crimea first, creating themselves a single front war with decreased line length and forcing Putin to commit to the only military strategy that has worked, human wave attacks.

I fear your fears about Crimea may be justified.


21 posted on 03/11/2024 9:15:23 AM PDT by Pete Dovgan
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To: hardspunned

A futile attempt to make it look like Biden is the man at the helm, facing nuclear threats and all. Of course since it’s CIA we have no idea what the really is.


22 posted on 03/11/2024 9:15:29 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard ( Resist the narrative. )
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To: DugwayDuke

Pro vax, pro Ukraine. Named after a biological facility.

You’re a spook.


23 posted on 03/11/2024 9:15:38 AM PDT by EEGator
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To: hardspunned

Poorly written, poorly titled, poorly thought out.
This was the wrong time for lousy journalism, Ronny Reyes!


24 posted on 03/11/2024 9:15:43 AM PDT by rx
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To: hardspunned

The CIA had to use funds to figure that out???!?

I ain’t getting one dollar of taxpayer money and I knew this already.


25 posted on 03/11/2024 9:17:25 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Laz 2005: "First, we beat the Soviet Union. Then we became them.")
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To: hardspunned
Why is the CIA leaking this now?

My first guess is that polling is showing that supporting Ukraine is no longer popular. Thus it needs to be seen as "wise" to quit supporting Ukraine during an election year.

26 posted on 03/11/2024 9:21:52 AM PDT by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: hardspunned

50% huh? Yes or no. That’s a 50% chance. Very intelligent assessment.

Sarcasm aside, if they think there is a 50% or greater chance, shouldn’t we try to talk them off the ledge? Biden’s “Armageddon ” rhetoric isn’t helpful. It will only further isolate them and runs the risk of playing into their hands. If they think we think they will use nukes, then they just need to Sabre rattle. Which they are doing recently where the former Russian President has warned recently that they would use nukes if certain red lines were crossed.


27 posted on 03/11/2024 9:30:47 AM PDT by monkeyshine (live and let live is dead)
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To: hardspunned

Oh my, [ clutches pearls ] we should give them a blank check... /s


28 posted on 03/11/2024 9:33:40 AM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (The kernel of our firm's job is to go with lots. - tnlibertarian job offer letter)
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To: usurper
A 50% assessment is like saying we have no idea, they may or may not go nuclear.

Exactamundo. Some people may read this as "it's pretty likely that they are nuking Ukraine", but in reality this is a way of saying "we have 0% certainty about this prediction".

29 posted on 03/11/2024 9:33:59 AM PDT by jz638
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To: hardspunned

Why do people pretend we still take the CIA seriously?


30 posted on 03/11/2024 9:36:16 AM PDT by reasonisfaith (What are the personal implications if the Resurrection of Christ is a true event in history?)
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To: packagingguy

You’d de well not listening to Glenn Beck, the CIA or The Biden.


31 posted on 03/11/2024 9:36:30 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: hardspunned

Fake analysis presented to rationalize forthcoming stupid policy.


32 posted on 03/11/2024 9:37:32 AM PDT by G Larry (It's RACIST to impose SLAVE WAGES on LEGAL immigrants and minorities by importing ILLEGAL Laborers)
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To: hardspunned

This brought to you by the agency likely responsible for STARTING this war...


33 posted on 03/11/2024 9:38:14 AM PDT by woweeitsme
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To: hardspunned

Well, either they do or they don’t. That’s pretty much 50%.


34 posted on 03/11/2024 9:39:47 AM PDT by Vermont Lt (Don’t vote for anyone over 70 years old. Get rid of the geriatric politicians.)
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To: usurper

You can never predict how someone might react, especially when they are desperate, angry and a bit crazy.

It’s crazy to create such a situation.


35 posted on 03/11/2024 9:40:47 AM PDT by desertfreedom765
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To: 728b
Does anyone trust the CIA to tell the truth anymore?

It appears the only assessment they ignored is the one from Putin himself where he explained he'd use nukes only if attacked.

36 posted on 03/11/2024 9:40:53 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: hardspunned

So they might nuke The Ukraine,and they might not. That is some hard hitting CIA work right there!


37 posted on 03/11/2024 9:41:45 AM PDT by 4yearlurker (Arise and shine,and give God the glory!-A trail cook's morning call.)
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To: hardspunned
"...if it found its forces were decimated and the illegally annexed territory of Crimea..." ___________________________________________________ How much of any nations territory is "illegally annexed"? How much of England's? Japan's? or.......The United States?
38 posted on 03/11/2024 9:43:15 AM PDT by Bishop_Malachi (Liberal Socialism - A philosophy which advocates spreading a low standard of living equally.)
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To: elpadre

Because Trump. Orange man bad. He’ll destroy the world


39 posted on 03/11/2024 9:45:18 AM PDT by Nifster ( I see puppy dogs in the clouds )
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To: hardspunned

I just flipped a coin and it says they won’t.


40 posted on 03/11/2024 9:45:53 AM PDT by pas
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