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Trump leads Biden in 7 swing states
Morning Consult ^ | 2/29/24 | NA

Posted on 02/29/2024 7:13:12 AM PST by Redmen4ever

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To: newzjunkey
"This could be interesting on Oct 29th, 2024. In February it’s noise at best, and misleading more likely."

I dunno, feels a lot more like Carter to me. Reagan had crossed over by early April (or early May, depending on which plot chart you care to believe), and he never looked back.

Even when Carter bottomed out in late July as Biden has already done a couple of times, he tracked back but never got within the MoE, and then Reagan destroyed him in the debates.

As I have said before, if Stephen Miller is smart enough to tell Trump not to try and confuse the Zombie with speed, but to specifically needle the dumbass with a mix of provocation and hard to follow argumentum, the Zombie will lock up and challenge Trump to a fight, or physically attack him. And the election is done then and there.

41 posted on 02/29/2024 1:59:56 PM PST by StAnDeliver (TrumpII)
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To: StAnDeliver

“feels a lot more like Carter to me.”

That is my read as well.

Teddy Kennedy did mount a strong primary challenge to Carter—but the Democrats these days are so tyrannical (ask Seth Rich) that no Democrat dares cross the party leaders.

Biden could easily fumble his way through another foreign policy disaster or two between now and November.


42 posted on 02/29/2024 2:07:04 PM PST by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: Redmen4ever

My pool pick is March 26th.


43 posted on 02/29/2024 3:38:15 PM PST by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: Redmen4ever

Great. You’re beautiful.

Now go and make your same argument on this thread at freerepublic.

HERE WE GO: Maricopa County is Sending Phony Mail-In Ballots AGAIN for Presidential Preference Election – One Voter Receives TWO Ballots With Her Name, Another Receives Ballot for Fulton County, GA Resident

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/4220985/posts

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/02/here-we-go-maricopa-county-is-sending-phony/


44 posted on 02/29/2024 3:42:27 PM PST by ckilmer
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To: Redmen4ever

Now comes a math question. If you need to, you can ask Siri or a grandchild to help you. If we almost won when we were behind in the polls in 2020, and we’re ahead in the polls in 2024, then - unless things change - what can we expect to happen this year?
//////
Again, the polls do not include the illegal alien vote—which will go heavily for Biden.

I’m not saying that Trump can’t or won’t win. I am saying that it’s a contest in which Trump will do a better job of holding onto his base than Biden. However, Biden will have the advantage of the illegal alien vote and fraud.

Plus judging by results in the last three elections the democrats will do better than expected in state and local elections because of their ability to bring national resources to state and local elections. In the past, those national resources were money, computing, volunteers, and non-profits. This time it will be the federal government, federally financed non-profits, compute, volunteers, and illegals.

For Trump to win, he has to get comfortably beyond the margin of error in the swing states.

That should be conventional wisdom. I’m surprised that you don’t get it.


45 posted on 02/29/2024 3:53:24 PM PST by ckilmer
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To: Redmen4ever

It’s time our side cheat too. Stuff away.


46 posted on 02/29/2024 3:54:53 PM PST by Fledermaus (Is it me, or all of a sudden have the buried trolls come out on FR like cicadas? It's all noise.)
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To: wiseprince

WHT? They just won’t count early votes for Trump.

They’re criminals.


47 posted on 02/29/2024 3:56:40 PM PST by Fledermaus (Is it me, or all of a sudden have the buried trolls come out on FR like cicadas? It's all noise.)
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To: HandBasketHell

100% 👍


48 posted on 02/29/2024 3:59:06 PM PST by Fledermaus (Is it me, or all of a sudden have the buried trolls come out on FR like cicadas? It's all noise.)
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To: ckilmer

I see the fact that Trump outperformed the polls in 2020 is too disruptive for your narrative.


49 posted on 02/29/2024 4:30:07 PM PST by Redmen4ever
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To: Redmen4ever

I see the fact that Trump outperformed the polls in 2020 is too disruptive for your narrative.
.......
your thought is perfect except that in 2016 trump was behind in all the blue wall states...however he won them.

that’ what freaked out hillary. and caused the democrats to think that the election of 2016 was stolen. they officially believed the public poll which put them ahead.


50 posted on 02/29/2024 5:43:27 PM PST by ckilmer
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To: ckilmer

So, in both 2016 and 2020, Trump did better in the actual voting than in the polls.

Is this, is this a pattern?

Therefore, if Trump is already ahead in the polls in 2024, what does this imply for the actual vote in 2024?


51 posted on 02/29/2024 8:12:56 PM PST by Redmen4ever
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To: Redmen4ever

Therefore, if Trump is already ahead in the polls in 2024, what does this imply for the actual vote in 2024?
......
It shows the reason that no democrat dares replace Biden against his will.

Why? He controls the federal election machinery and the interface with the non profits and the illegals.

9 Ways The Feds Are Using ‘Bidenbucks’ To Rig The 2024 Election

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4221059/posts


52 posted on 03/01/2024 8:53:50 AM PST by ckilmer
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To: ckilmer

And

https://thenationalpulse.com/analysis-post/kassam-what-a-week-from-hell-for-the-democrats/


53 posted on 03/01/2024 8:57:43 AM PST by combat_boots
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