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The Impact of Ending Military Aid to Ukraine: Gradual Decline, Then Collapse
Center for Strategic and International Studies ^ | 19DEC2023 | Mark F. Cancian

Posted on 02/11/2024 3:05:05 AM PST by Tom Tetroxide

As Congress dithers about funding aid to Ukraine, Ukrainian military capabilities decline. This decline is gradual. Previously committed weapons, munitions, and supplies will keep some equipment flowing for months or even years. However, the effects of declining aid will be increasingly apparent on the battlefield. Ukraine is no longer able to conduct a counteroffensive. By February or March, it will have difficulty conducting local counterattacks, and by early summer, it will struggle to fend off Russian attacks. At some point, the front will collapse, and Russia will impose a harsh peace.

Q1: Why is military aid needed?

A1: Militaries in combat need a continuous flow of munitions, weapons, and supplies to replace those destroyed or used up in operations. For example, during its counteroffensive earlier this year, Ukraine was firing munitions at an extremely high rate, about 6,000 artillery rounds per day. Ukraine will not run out of ammunition, as some resupply will continue from U.S. and global sources. However, as the flow of ammunition declines, Ukraine will have to prioritize targets. Instead of firing at suspected enemy locations, it will only be able to fire at identified locations. Eventually, it will only be able to fire at the most dangerous targets, such as those that are shooting at Ukrainian forces.

Similarly, militaries lose equipment at a steady rate. Without replacements, units lose firepower. That means relying more on humans and suffering higher casualties.

(Excerpt) Read more at csis.org ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Front Page News; Government; Politics/Elections; Russia; Ukraine; War
KEYWORDS: aid; collapse; markfcancian; pritzker; russia; ukraine; war
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To: Tom Tetroxide
The Impact of Ending Military Aid to Ukraine: Gradual Decline, Then Collapse

Americans should demand an extremely rapid decline, then a complete collapse.

81 posted on 02/11/2024 4:45:06 PM PST by Navy Patriot (Celebrate Decivilization)
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To: Rockingham; FarCenter
Unfortunately, that is precisely the lesson that so many on this forum wish to put out to the world.

It is precisely the lesson that American Prog Socialist Democrats, the Deep Swamp and NeoCons have already put out to the world.

82 posted on 02/11/2024 4:51:46 PM PST by Navy Patriot (Celebrate Decivilization)
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To: Firehath

Yep, I understand that one, too!


83 posted on 02/11/2024 5:01:22 PM PST by Navy Patriot (Celebrate Decivilization)
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To: Jim Robinson

Thank you!
He/she/it was all over the place.


84 posted on 02/11/2024 10:36:15 PM PST by Bikkuri (I am proud to be a PureBlood.)
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To: FarCenter; 2ndDivisionVet; 50mm; Arrowhead1952; Old Sarge; shibumi; .44 Special; 230FMJ; ...


*** H/T to Jane Long ***


I have no idea WHAT to say about this one..
Could never figure he/she/it out ๐Ÿ™„
Thankfully JimRob himself roasted it.
















*** click the name to check ***















































85 posted on 02/11/2024 10:43:01 PM PST by Bikkuri (I am proud to be a PureBlood.)
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To: flaglady47

EU is having its own problems and the political landscape is changing dramatically. New leaders will come to power who will not support the US satrap in Ukraine. Ukraine will do a deal with Putin and the Russian Duma. They will cut us off at the knees. All we will get is ex-president Zelenskyy.


86 posted on 02/11/2024 10:44:16 PM PST by Forward the Light Brigade ( Ride to the sound of the Guns!)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

“ex-president Zelenskyy” is a good start.


87 posted on 02/12/2024 2:29:24 AM PST by flaglady47
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To: Bikkuri

Good.


88 posted on 02/12/2024 4:03:11 AM PST by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, โ€œSurely I am coming soon.โ€ Amen. Come, Lord Jesusโ€ฆ)
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To: Worldtraveler once upon a time

And Satan gave that weirdo 37 billion dollars to pervert the world with. Incredible but he knows who will do his bidding.


89 posted on 02/12/2024 4:27:07 AM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: Bikkuri

(was all over the place)

I noticed that very thing, though I saw just a little bit.


90 posted on 02/12/2024 4:33:15 AM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: FarCenter; The Ignorant Fisherman; Karliner; 444Flyer; Nervous Tick; Roman_War_Criminal; metmom; ...

(Israel will be a pariah state)

This will be Satan’s end game. Eventually the world’s armies will gather together against Israel, convinced that they will finish her off.

This will result in the actual Second Coming of Jesus Christ Himself to Earth ๐ŸŒŽ๐ŸŒ. And the world’s armies will try to fight Him that sat on the horse.

The New World Order’s armies under the Beast will lose. In dramatic fashion.


Zechariah 12:1-3
King James Version

1 The burden of the word of the Lord for Israel, saith the Lord, which stretcheth forth the heavens, and layeth the foundation of the earth, and formeth the spirit of man within him.

2 Behold, I will make Jerusalem a cup of trembling unto all the people round about, when they shall be in the siege both against Judah and against Jerusalem.

3 And in that Day will I make Jerusalem a burdensome stone for all people: all that burden themselves with it shall be cut in pieces, though all the people of the earth be gathered together against it.

https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Zechariah+12%3A1-3&version=KJV


Zechariah 14:1-4
King James Version

1 Behold, the Day of the Lord cometh, and thy spoil shall be divided in the midst of thee.

2 For I will gather all nations against Jerusalem to battle; and the city shall be taken, and the houses rifled, and the women ravished; and half of the city shall go forth into captivity, and the residue of the people shall not be cut off from the city.

3 Then shall the Lord go forth, and fight against those nations, as when He fought in the day of battle.

4 And His feet shall stand in that Day upon the mount of Olives, which is before Jerusalem on the east, and the mount of Olives shall cleave in the midst thereof toward the east and toward the west, and there shall be a very great valley; and half of the mountain shall remove toward the north, and half of it toward the south.

https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Zechariah+14%3A1-4&version=KJV


Revelation 19:17-21
New King James Version

The Beast and His Armies Defeated

17 Then I saw an angel standing in the sun; and he cried with a loud voice, saying to all the birds that fly in the midst of heaven, โ€œCome and gather together for the supper of the great God,

18 that you may eat the flesh of kings, the flesh of captains, the flesh of mighty men, the flesh of horses and of those who sit on them, and the flesh of all people, free and slave, both small and great.โ€

19 And I saw the Beast, the kings of the Earth, and their armies, gathered together to make war against Him who sat on the horse and against His army.

20 Then the Beast was captured, and with him the false prophet who worked signs in his presence, by which he deceived those who received the Mark of the Beast and those who worshiped his image. These two were cast alive into the Lake of Fire burning with brimstone.

21 And the rest were killed with the sword which proceeded from the mouth of Him who sat on the horse. And all the birds were filled with their flesh.

https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Revelation+19%3A17-21&version=NKJV


91 posted on 02/12/2024 5:17:33 AM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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Revelation 19:20
New King James Version

20 Then the Beast was captured, and with him the False Prophet who worked signs in his presence, by which he deceived those who received the Mark of the Beast and those who worshiped his image. These two were cast alive into the Lake of Fire burning with brimstone.





(lurkers please click on my screen name to see my FR homepage for more information)
92 posted on 02/12/2024 5:31:10 AM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: rxh4n1
The USA gets in and does it for them.

Sounds like a job for the Clinton Global Initiative.

93 posted on 02/12/2024 7:33:30 AM PST by gundog ( It was a bright cold day in April, and the clocks were striking thirteen. )
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To: Tom Tetroxide

The sooner the better. Not one more damn penny to Ukraine.


94 posted on 02/12/2024 7:36:08 AM PST by little jeremiah (Nothing Can Stop What Is Coming)
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To: SaveFerris

I pray every day for my family and all those who scoff at Revelation. I just want to go home. God be with you in these frightening times.


95 posted on 02/12/2024 8:32:07 AM PST by FES0844
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To: FES0844

Thank you brother and

God bless you!

โœ๏ธ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿ›


96 posted on 02/12/2024 2:41:37 PM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: Rockingham

Every of your points is false.


97 posted on 02/14/2024 11:55:41 AM PST by NorseViking
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To: Bull Man

Yeah

Yeah

Yeah

Hurray

No more gog 666 usa

No more gog 666 nato

Biden - napolean - Obama - hitler

Rev 13

Hip

Hip

Hooray


98 posted on 02/14/2024 12:02:14 PM PST by Firehath (Quackery - An irrelevant simplification / undetected Complex problem - attacking symptoms)
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To: NorseViking

We shall see. Events have a way of making us all look like fools at times.


99 posted on 02/14/2024 12:18:35 PM PST by Rockingham (`)
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To: Bikkuri

Dangit. Way late to the ZOT thread. Grr.


100 posted on 02/14/2024 1:05:26 PM PST by piytar (Do NOT forget Ashli Babbit!)
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