There are some good analyses on YouTube about China’s military capability. The PLA is far worse than they want us to believe.
Also our own MIC has a history of exaggerating Russian and Chinese gear and capabilities. Got to keep that spending high.
Chinese gear is inferior. Their carriers are jokes. The catapults on that new one are half as powerful as ours. Their jet engines have on the order of 1/4 the lifespan of NATO’s. Etc etc.
China is definitely dangerous. But an invasion of Taiwan is by no means assured. Especially if Japan and India jump in. Japan certainly would. India wouldn’t want China to succeed.
India is very critical here. It can easily shut off most of China’s oil.
Xi is evil but not completely stupid. A failed invasion of Taiwan could bring the CCP down. Their public is already in turmoil. Probably a billion of the Chinese live at poverty level. He would have to be really desperate to attack Taiwan. China could not survive the sort of sanctions that Russia has managed to endure. Russia has its own oil resources. China doesn’t.
In the event of an ill-advised attempt at an amphibious invasion of Taiwan, would the Chinese Three Gorges dam be destroyed utterly? Would their two oil pipelines overland from Russia be severed in multiple spots? We all have weak spots to be exploited during conflict.
Yes, Bombay throwing in with Japan against the Chi Coms would boomerang back on Xi in unpredictable ways. I think it would certainly foil their ability to succeed and it well might bring down the whole communist regime there. How could that be worth the risk to them?