Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Poll: Trump, Biden Statistically Tied in Pennsylvania, Democrat Sen. Casey is Vulnerable
Breitbart ^ | 21 Sep 2023 | NICK GILBERTSON

Posted on 09/22/2023 8:22:05 AM PDT by SoConPubbie

The poll, published on Thursday, shows that 45 percent of likely voters in the Quaker State back Trump in a head-to-head match-up with Biden, who takes 47 percent of the response. As the poll is within the 3.9 percentage point margin of error, the candidates are statistically tied. Another eight percent of responses are undecided.

Trump’s former White House political director, Bill Stepien, serves as a partner at National Public Affairs, and Macy Stepien is its executive vice president of polling and data analysis. In a memo providing analysis of the poll, they note that Trump holds an advantage among independents, while Biden leads with women:

Notably, Trump currently overperforms among middle-aged men (+35), voters without a college degree (+24), those who live in the Pittsburgh media market (+32) and Independents (+9). Whereas, Biden has a strong lead among key voting groups like women (+25), college graduates (+27), those who live in the Philadelphia media market (+18) and younger voters (+7).

Pennsylvania was a crucial win for Trump on his way to victory over a twice-failed presidential candidate in 2016. He bested Clinton by more than 44,000 votes before Biden won the state back in 2020 by nearly double that margin.

The poll also finds that Sen Bob Casey (D-PA) is vulnerable in his bid for reelection. He trails a generic Republican by two points, putting him in a statistical tie, considering the margin of error. Notably, Casey won the state by more than 13 percentage points in 2018 over Lou Barletta.

However, 2022’s Senate race in Pennsylvania showed a more competitive political climate for Republicans. Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) beat out celebrity doctor Mehmet Oz by just under five percentage points.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: bobcasey; desantis; pennsylvania; trump
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-31 next last

1 posted on 09/22/2023 8:22:05 AM PDT by SoConPubbie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SoConPubbie

Well, more cheating in Philadelphia needed then, I guess.


2 posted on 09/22/2023 8:23:28 AM PDT by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966 )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoConPubbie

A Senate pickup would be awesome -


3 posted on 09/22/2023 8:32:14 AM PDT by 11th_VA (<><)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoConPubbie

The only poll that matters in PA, is the one that closes a week after Election Day. The Republicans in Congress aren’t interested in shutting down the massive mail in voter fraud in places like PA. They want to be the perpetual minority party, at least after all the “ballots” are counted.


4 posted on 09/22/2023 8:33:33 AM PDT by Dr. Franklin ("A republic, if you can keep it." )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: OttawaFreeper

Not declaring a winner on election night is the root of their fraud. They know how many ballots the Republican is leading by at the end of the night, so they know exactly how many fraudulent ballots they need to manufacture. That “order” is fulfilled over the next few days. Unless Trump has a plan to fight this he can forget winning the swing states.


5 posted on 09/22/2023 8:36:00 AM PDT by libh8er
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SoConPubbie

Pennsylvania is a Democrat stronghold and core of voter corruption, nothing I have seen indicates any change in the voters of Pennsylvania voting against their own best interests.


6 posted on 09/22/2023 8:38:18 AM PDT by dpetty121263
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoConPubbie
"Sen Bob Casey (D-PA) is vulnerable in his bid for reelection."

Not at all, in Trump's case, OR Casey's case.

Once 150% of the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh Registered voters are mailed in, and counted by Dem's, ti won't even be close......(same as MI, PA, WI, AZ, etc.).

Ask Kari Lake about the "most secure Elections" ever......

7 posted on 09/22/2023 8:39:58 AM PDT by traditional2 (lets go B*and*n)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoConPubbie

Trump will not win PA. The aborts/baby killers are out in full force in both the republican party and demoncrat party.


8 posted on 09/22/2023 8:40:48 AM PDT by kvanbrunt2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoConPubbie
"Sen Bob Casey (D-PA) is vulnerable in his bid for reelection."

Not at all, in Trump's case, OR Casey's case.

Once 150% of the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh Registered voters are mailed in, and counted by Dem's, ti won't even be close......(same as MI, PA, WI, AZ, etc.).

Ask Kari Lake about the "most secure Elections" ever......

9 posted on 09/22/2023 8:43:01 AM PDT by traditional2 (lets go B*and*n)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoConPubbie

And McCormick will be unopposed in the primary so he has every opportunity to win via casey. But the Aborts will not allow that to happen.


10 posted on 09/22/2023 8:43:22 AM PDT by kvanbrunt2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kvanbrunt2

The solution is simple. Put Cornel West on the ballot. Republicans can do it if they’re smart. They’re not. $10 will do it to get started. I’ll send in a hundred if he gets traction.


11 posted on 09/22/2023 8:44:43 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (e allowed )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: OttawaFreeper

You don’t know much about PA politics. The suburban aborts now rule the political arena. Both republican and demoncrats. Montco, BUcks, Delaware (union) and Chester counties will not turn out for Trump. sorry. Biden or harris wins by 5%.


12 posted on 09/22/2023 8:45:56 AM PDT by kvanbrunt2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Dr. Franklin

They want to be the perpetual minority party, at least after all the “ballots” are counted. >>> And if you are a demoncrat you get three votes for each ballot.


13 posted on 09/22/2023 8:47:27 AM PDT by kvanbrunt2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: kvanbrunt2

Get Conner Lamb to switch parties. He’s a whore.


14 posted on 09/22/2023 8:47:32 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (e allowed )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: SoConPubbie

if it is “Tied” in pennsylvania, that means that biden stands a 99% chance or better of winning there


15 posted on 09/22/2023 8:56:07 AM PDT by Bob434
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoConPubbie

this is probably the reason that the governor announced that anyone who gets a drivers lisence will automatically be registered to vote. dems will carpet bomb the state with ballots to be scooped up by dem operatives for voting.


16 posted on 09/22/2023 8:56:38 AM PDT by ckilmer (ui)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Bob434

if trump were up 100% there=- Biden woudl still “win”


17 posted on 09/22/2023 8:56:47 AM PDT by Bob434
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: SoConPubbie

Lots of factors in play.

They still have not fixed their vote counting questions.

And the GOP is expert at putting up lame candidates.


18 posted on 09/22/2023 8:59:14 AM PDT by lurk (u)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoConPubbie

Sure they’re tied go away.
Trump doesn’t need Pa to win.
He just has to stop the rodent voter fraud.


19 posted on 09/22/2023 9:02:32 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: lurk

DE should be part of PA; no need for two such corrupt states.


20 posted on 09/22/2023 9:02:39 AM PDT by Theodore R. ( )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-31 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson