The largest number of trips by auto was earlier recorded as 35,000, I presume that was one way. Very recently I have seen photos of long lines of cars waiting to cross the bridge into Russia. If there were an average of 2 people per car for 25,000 a day that would be 50,000 people a day leaving. For a week that would be 350,000. With under 2,000,000 people on Crimea, and perhaps 600,000 that did not leave after 2014, it would only take less than 2 months for most pro Russian civilians to depart. I doubt the Ukrainians will be bombing that bridge again any time soon. They don’t want to be responsible for people who don’t want to be there.
They might use a targeted drone attack on the rail bridge which last I heard could be used for passenger trains, but not for heavy equipment which needs to use the large ferries that were used prior to completion of the bridge in 2018. A month ago it was reported that full 4 lane traffic, 2 each way was back in service ahead of predictions, but the rail bridge might not be repaired until September. If it were repaired sooner, Ukraine might want to target the rail bridge to interfere with import of heavy weapons and fuel.
PIF—nice ship photo!
Quit putting me on your ping list.