Posted on 05/01/2023 9:08:40 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
I still suffer with Lotus Notes.......
IBM stands for International Business machine. I had an uncle who worked for IBM in Poughkeepsie back when they were in the old campus and he helped invent a numerical cylinder for mechanical adding machines. When IBM shifted to computers and the resulting media storage devices, lots of those old IBMer’s reached that point of obsolescence and were let go. Field cost center more Factory was shuttered in the gates were locked, and Poughkeepsie fell into a general downturn which still might be persistent.
It was that Uncle who mentored me with the advice that I should pick a trade that won’t reach obsolescence and he suggested electrical work or electronics, of those two electronics suffered as technological advances ensued at a rapid pace shoving many old school electronic technicians to the wayside, luckily I chose electrical work and was able to forge a career out of a technology that will be around indefinitely.
So obsolescence has shifted before and it looks like it continues to transpire and people lose their jobs because of obsolescence and the younger workforce trained on emerging technologies follows on.
It’s the nature of technologically advanced trades. There remains a bit of legacy work afterwards or perhaps management of the emerging technical workforce but those positions are limited.
You must not work in IT, nor have any American friends working in IT. Otherwise, you would have a very different opinion.
“Seems to me that 100% of congressional staff could be replaced by AI as well as 95% of federal agency staff.”
I disagree. The rats would love the idea of congressional staffing and federal employees being replaced by AI. The democrats would see to it that the AI’s ability to think would be leftist based.
I think AI is currently overrated. Granted, I know little about it, but it still must have to be programmed how to think and solve problems.
There is a somewhat universal belief that a computer cannot make a mistake. I think that’s one reason why “computer modeling” of things like glow bull warming is so believable to many. The fact is, “garbage in, garbage out”, which means a computer will only do what it is programmed to do. If the programming and input data of a computer model leans towards a warmer climate, then the computer output will show just that.
If AI is programmed to be a communist thinker, it will do just that.
I could be wrong, but seriously doubt it.
Maybe humans will get replaced from multiple jobs over time. Are we up to Frank Herbert's Butlerian Jihad yet?
What is the AI version of
“THINK”
just aksin’
The fact is that there are lots of workers doing “bullshit jobs”.
“Graeber describes five types of meaningless jobs, in which workers pretend their role is not as pointless or harmful as they know it to be: flunkies, goons, duct tapers, box tickers, and taskmasters.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bullshit_Jobs
It is normally difficult to eliminate bullshit jobs because no middle manager wants to see their little empire shrink, no union rep wants to see their membership shrink, etc.
AI, just like other technological changes in the past, will give management the ability to rearrange business processes and organizational structures. In doing so, they can reduce the number of bullshit jobs and eliminate a lot of dead wood.
It doesn’t matter what you think.
It matters what the boss thinks.
You could be God’s gift to your employer, but if your employer thinks somebody only marginally good but way cheaper and easier to manage is a better choice, prepare to be ousted by the H1b.
And you’ll likely only find out the hard way.
Oh, my goodness! Soon, there will only be jobs for illegals, cuz I hear everybody hires them for manual labor.
These are the guys who let a good salesman named Ross Perot go.
“I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”
Thomas Watson, president of IBM, 1943
IBM CEO gets replaced by HAL
I always assumed industrial automation was 20 years ahead of white collar automation.
After reading and watching some of the things that white collar AI can do, I am now thinking the exact opposite may be true.
White collar AI could be an absolute miracle for small business owners and entrepreneurs.
Imagine scanning the 100 best business and engineering books in the world into your Office AI system.
An endless stream of expert analysis and opinion!
entropy12 is himself an immigrant from India.
Or, at least, has publicly claimed on this forum to be one.
That fact might color his comments somewhat.
David Rolfe Graeber (/ˈɡreɪbər/; February 12, 1961 – September 2, 2020) was an American anthropologist and anarchist activist. His influential work in economic anthropology, particularly his books Debt: The First 5,000 Years (2011), Bullshit Jobs (2018), and The Dawn of Everything (2021), and his leading role in the Occupy movement, earned him recognition as one of the foremost anthropologists and left-wing thinkers of his time.[1][2][3]
Huh ...
Arrived at age 20 in US to work on masters degree in mechanical engineering. After graduation I was hired by American outfit and they insist I stay in US permanently. My plan was to return to India where a job was waiting for me at Hindustan Aircraft in Bangalore. Still here at age 83. Plan is to make it to 100 without aches and pains.
Https://YouTube.com/shorts/cOZbElfBdCU?
My work at a heavy machinery manufacturer made it impossible to lay me off. My expertise in design of machines subjected to highest impact loads in the world (cold extrusion if steel) plus my expertise in using numerically controlled machines plus my ability to develop expert software for design and manufacturing, was enough for life time secure job. I retired at age 57 due to becoming financially independent. Spent next 15 years at Royal Oaks Country club in Vancouver, WA. Those were the best years of my life. Now in Florida doing 6 cruises every year.
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