You might find Louis-Vincent Gave interesting:
“On the topic of Taiwan, Gave offers yet more positive predictions. He argues that an invasion of Taiwan will never happen for a number of reasons, above all topographical ones: “Taiwan is a natural fortress”. A hundred miles of sea stand between it and China, and it has mountains reaching 12,000 feet and only three beaches to choose from. “Are you going to try to do this with an army, a navy and an air force that is completely untested? No, there’s no way.”
In fact the prospect of any military action in China seems very unlikely to our guest. Two decades of the one-child policy has instilled in the Chinese a particularly strong aversion to war: “When you have one child, you don’t send them to war. No way. And so that’s one of the particularities of Chinese society that make a military action, in my mind, very unlikely.”
Text version (paraphrase of video):
https://unherd.com/thepost/louis-vincent-gave-the-truth-about-chinas-reopening/
Video:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=J10eXxepzIE
Video of interview of him from last year (bear in mind this was before winter came and he had no way of knowing it would be unusually mild for Europe, also before we blew up the Nord Stream pipelines):
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=EtqJrbTygFs
Anyway, in addition to the above, China supposes it will get Taiwan back without firing a shot, it will just take some time for the politics to shake out in their favor.
“On the topic of Taiwan, Gave offers yet more positive predictions. He argues that an invasion of Taiwan will never happen for a number of reasons, above all topographical ones: “Taiwan is a natural fortress”. A hundred miles of sea stand between it and China, and it has mountains reaching 12,000 feet and only three beaches to choose from. “Are you going to try to do this with an army, a navy and an air force that is completely untested? No, there’s no way.”
This is true.
The situation is complicated by another truth - about 35% of the Taiwanese population is sympathetic to PRC and would like to unite.