Study Finds US Would Run Out Of Long-Range Munitions In 1 Week In China Hot War

Nation and State ^ | 01/25/2023 | Tyler Durden

[SeekAndFind]

A new study released this week by the D.C.-based Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) has concluded that America's defense industry is "not adequately prepared" for "a protracted conventional war" with an enemy with a large military like China.

The findings were the result of a war games simulation which also relied heavily on observations and statistics being gained from the Ukraine-Russia war, and Washington's ongoing military support role to Kiev.

Information from the Ukraine war led CSIS to find that the US would rapidly deplete its munitions, particularly long-range, precision-guided ones - in merely less than a week of a hot war with China in the Taiwan Strait.

Chinese PLA naval soldiers on the march in a file photo. Image: Asia Times/Facebook

“The main problem is that the U.S. defense industrial base — including the munitions industrial base — is not currently equipped to support a protracted conventional war," the study emphasized.

"The bottom line is the defense industrial base, in my judgment, is not prepared for the security environment that now exists," CSIS’s Seth Jones concluded in a statement to The Wall Street Journal.

As the study's main author, Jones posed the question: "How do you effectively deter if you don’t have sufficient stockpiles of the kinds of munitions you’re going to need for a China-Taiwan Strait kind of scenario?" According to more from the study:

"As the war in Ukraine illustrates, a war between major powers is likely to be a protracted, industrial-style conflict that needs a robust defense industry able to produce enough munitions and other weapons systems for a protracted war if deterrence fails..."

"Given the lead time for industrial production, it would likely be too late for the defense industry to ramp up production if a war were to occur without major changes."

The report additionally pointed out that the slow-moving nature of US bureaucracy and oversight is also a fundamental aspect to the problem:

The study also said that the U.S.’s foreign military sales (FMS) take too long because they need to be initiated by the Department of State and then executed by the Department of Defense and ultimately approved by Congress. Foreign sales have benefits, including supporting the U.S. defense industry, strengthening ally relations and preventing the sale of adversary systems to other countries, the study said.

"The U.S. FMS system is not optimal for today’s competitive environment — an environment where such countries as China are building significant military capabilities and increasingly looking to sell them overseas," the study stated.

It does seem the Pentagon is taking note, and is aware that events in Ukraine have exposed US defense shortcomings, as the Biden administration chooses to get more and more involved. The New York Times reported Tuesday that the US plans to boost production of artillery ammunition by 500% over the next two years.

Whereas the US Army previously produced 14,400 155mm shells a month, the new plans could see those numbers hit over 90,000 each month.

[A strike]

In the event Communist China subs would be killed in 90 seconds by USNavy SSNs (except those missing US subs due to the treason of Eric Swalwell and Diane Feinstein).

-fJRoberts_

[P.O.E.]

Yeah, but we far outpace them in the number of military-age men who can make all kinds of fancy hand gestures at the camera.

[PIF]

The projected shortage real or conjectured, has nothing to do with Ukraine, but everything to do with recent Pentagon planning for short wars in 3rd world countries and buying munitions to match.

[TallahasseeConservative]

Sir,
I can assure you that my Active Duty Navy son and his shipmates are not fags, trannies or lesbians. Their leadership may be woke but the men and women on the teams and in the Fleet simply roll their eyes, salute and carry on. The same way I did when Clinton introduced “Don’t ask, Don’t tell” and his Grandfather did during Vietnam and his great Grandfather did aboard the USS Karnes in the Pacific Theater.

Also, there were no such things as “stress cards” that was a myth, they never existed. Has the Military changed the way they conduct certain aspects of Basic Training? Yes, but changes come with every generation. These kids will fight and perform well when the time comes.

[TwelveOfTwenty]

Draining the strategic petroleum reserve should make things worse... What’s Biden’s next trick to help China and the Cartels...

He could send our manufacturing and money over there...oh wait, we already did that.

[SauronOfMordor]

One viable strategy would be to sink or impound China’s cargo fleet on the first day.

[SauronOfMordor]

Elon Musk, and his reusable SpaceX boosters, would be a strategic asset in any anti-satellite pissing contest.

[Feckless]

There would be a corresponding shortage of Chinese men and material.

[BiteYourSelf]

Will a war with China last a week?🤔

[Forward the Light Brigade]

Time to go on a war footing and run the war factories 24/7 like Russia is doing. Something for illegal aliens to do—we need to sign up these Latin Americans too—we need whole units of Spanish Speaking troops to defend America if WW III should happen. We must be ready.

[central_va]

Toilets on warships are made out of stainless steel, you know like a prison.

[central_va]

YJ-12

Type: Anti-ship cruise missile

Place of origin People's Republic of China

Service history

In service: ~2011-present

Used by People's Liberation Army Navy

Specifications:

Length	6.3 m (21 ft)[1]
Diameter	0.756 m (2.48 ft)[1]
Warhead	205–500 kg (452–1,102 lb)[2][3]
Engine	integrated ramjet/booster propulsion system[4]

Operational range:

250–400 km (160–250 mi; 130–220 nmi)[4][2]

(depending on altitude), 300 km at Mach 3, 400km at Mach 4[5]

Maximum speed: Mach 2-4[1][2] (depending on altitude)

Guidance system: Terminal guidance

Launch platform:

H-6
JH-7B
JF-17
Type 051B destroyer[6]
Sovremenny-class destroyer[7]

[wildcard_redneck]

Deindustrialization to a service slave economy has consequences......

[laplata]

Thanks. I guess I was wrong and we don’t have to worry about long range hypersonic missiles.

[central_va]

There is a lot of false hype about a lot of things on Free Republic.

[laplata]

That’s for sure.

[Freedom56v2]

BUMP

[bravo whiskey]

Seems to happen with every major war.