[MileHi]

“You should see the spreadsheet I did of the Colorado 3rd comparing 2020 to 2022, MileHi. It’s a doozy. “

Like to see it.

[kiryandil]

				p					p	Lauren 2020	Bush 2020	p	2020 total		L2022	D2022	D2020
				o					o	minus	minus	o	minus		div	div	div
2020	Boebert	Bush	total	p	2022	Boebert	Frisky		p	Lauren 2022	Frisky 2022	p	2022 total		L2020	D2020	D2022
Alamosa	3746	3616	7662	31	Alamosa	2,903	2,966	5869	31	843	650	31	1793		77%	82%	122%
Archuleta	5038	3577	8922	34	Archuleta	4,196	3,575	7771	34	842	2	34	1151		83%	100%	100%
Conejos	2209	1920	4218	41	Conejos	1,790	1,592	3382	41	419	328	41	836		81%	83%	121%
Costilla	688	1278	2034	55	Costilla	546	1,112	1658	55	142	166	55	376		79%	87%	115%
Delta	12937	5723	19145	18	Delta	10,173	5,603	15776	18	2764	120	18	3369		79%	98%	102%
Dolores	1063	319	1414	57	Dolores	962	339	1301	57	101	-20	57	113		90%	106%	94%
Garfield	13756	15531	30438	13	Garfield	10,326	13,752	24078	13	3430	1779	13	6360		75%	89%	113%
Gunnison	3809	6863	11020	30	Gunnison	2,760	6,219	8979	30	1049	644	30	2041		72%	91%	110%
Hinsdale	351	238	612	63	Hinsdale	276	238	514	63	75	0	63	98		79%	100%	100%
Huerfano	2157	1999	4335	44	Huerfano	1,793	1,994	3787	44	364	5	44	548		83%	100%	100%
La Plata	14059	19877	35046	14	La Plata	10,901	18,648	29549	14	3158	1229	14	5497		78%	94%	107%
Las Animas	4254	3347	7853	33	Las Animas	3,386	3,211	6597	33			33			80%	96%	104%
Mesa	55437	30576	89427	11	Mesa	41,885	30,764	72649	11	13552	-188	11	16778		76%	101%	99%
Mineral	412	291	743	62	Mineral	392	304	696	62	20	-13	62	47		95%	104%	96%
Moffat	5587	1143	6891	35	Moffat	4,277	1,094	5371	35	1310	49	35	1520		77%	96%	104%
Montezuma	9248	5614	15283	22	Montezuma	7,135	5,313	12448	22	2113	301	22	2835		77%	95%	106%
Montrose	16529	7326	24501	17	Montrose	12,979	7,628	20607	17	3550	-302	17	3894		79%	104%	96%
Otero	5946	3188	9430	27	Otero	4,174	2,960	7134	27			27			70%	93%	108%
Ouray	1578	2301	3965	52	Ouray	1,281	2,239	3520	52	297	62	52	445		81%	97%	103%
Pitkin	2829	8682	11800	29	Pitkin	1,975	7,543	9518	29	854	1139	29	2282		70%	87%	115%
Pueblo	41576	41780	86882	10	Pueblo	31,102	35,390	66492	10	10474	6390	10	20390		75%	85%	118%
Rio Blanco	3006	560	3640	45	Rio Blanco	2,489	534	3023	45	517	26	45	617		83%	95%	105%
Rio Grande	3567	2428	6207	37	Rio Grande	2,800	2,118	4918	37	767	310	37	1289		78%	87%	115%
Saguache	1334	1830	3287	46	Saguache	1,162	1,583	2745	46	172	247	46	542		87%	87%	116%
San Juan	201	322	543	64	San Juan	157	355	512	64	44	-33	64	31		78%	110%	91%
San Miguel	1175	3745	5052	40	San Miguel	835	3,206	4041	40	340	539	40	1011		71%	86%	117%

[kiryandil]

The critical number is the whack that they put on Boebert's turnout in Mesa - knocked her down to 76% of her 2020 total.

I suspect that many of her votes ended up in the circular file.

You can see that she has normal midterm turnout in most of the rest of the counties.

Some of the counties have 100% or greater turnout for the Democrat in 2022, when compared to 2020 - which is highly abnormal for a midterm [not more than 100% of registered voters, just more than turned out in 2020].

Usually, a midterm turnout will be lower than a presidential year.