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Final 2022 Election Predictions Thread
11/8/2022 | Permarag

Posted on 11/08/2022 8:49:00 AM PST by PermaRag

Post your final election predictions here. U.S. House, Senate, Governors, any other races you like.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: elections; governors; house; senate
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To: Theoria

I’ve been working with election data since the mid 1990s and demographic/polling data since the 1980s, plus I’m a highly skeptical type by nature and not exactly what anyone would call a “glass half full” person.

So I discounted many things that seemed a little too good to be true, and this time around they happened to be exactly that in many cases.

I’m a lot better at ferreting out bad outcomes than good ones — I was one of millions who never imagined that Trump had any *real* chance to win in 2016, for example, even when the polls were slightly optimistic towards the end — though I did think he had the best chance of any of our candidates vs. Hillary, as if that required any special insight considering the rest of the field. :-)


81 posted on 11/10/2022 8:45:18 AM PST by PermaRag (We have SO many targets, and -- for now -- the means to see they get what they deserve.)
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To: TexasGurl24

I am very disappointed in the outcome.


82 posted on 11/12/2022 8:43:45 PM PST by nwrep
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To: PermaRag

Congratulations and kudos for a spot-on prediction. Not happy with the outcome, but glad to know there are realists here.


83 posted on 12/28/2022 7:34:20 AM PST by nwrep
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To: TexasGurl24

Adios from the future, TG24. Good riddance.


84 posted on 03/14/2023 7:17:34 PM PDT by TangoLimaSierra (⭐⭐To the Left, The Truth is Right Wing Violence⭐⭐)
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