Posted on 11/01/2022 11:41:53 AM PDT by Republicans 2016 2020
Not panic button time, but the numbers have to be concerning because the Clark firewall did not move much from Monday — it’s still at 21,000 or so. That’s less than 8 percent. (The mail volume is just not there for the Dems to really build a lead.)
Let me put it this way: If statewide Dem candidates win Clark by 8 percent or less, we are going to see a lot of red people.
As you will see from the models below, if both sides are holding their bases, even if the Repubs win indies by 10, the GOP candidate would be barely ahead. So all is not lost for the Dems quite yet. But – BUT – there are four days to go, and if the Repubs win Election Day…
Consider the math, which is what this blog is all about:
With rural numbers I just added – I have most but not all – the GOP lead in those 15 counties is more than 14,000 ballots. Using voting patterns in 2020 and 2018, that means the Dem candidates are likely losing by more than 18,000 votes there right now.
That means the 21,000 ballot Clark Dem firewall is pretty precarious, even if that translates into a 21,000-vote lead right now, which is by no means certain. That could make Washoe the decider — again, still. Dems still lead there, but not by much (1,700 votes) after the Repubs had their best day on Monday.
(Excerpt) Read more at thenevadaindependent.com ...
Sorry, but I don’t get the clip about the men without shirts. What is going on?
from the movie airplane, when the pilot turned on the panic sign...
wrestlers were thrown in to make the scene funnier.
i found the movie to be sophomoric.
A gif from the 1980 Airplane! movie, vis-a-vis panic.
Mitch better worry. Rick Scott will be next leader.
But who and why would anyone travel without a shirt in those days.
“Sophomoric” can be gut splitting if done properly.
Bkmk
Please Support FR
Click The Pic To Donate
Ummmm... you need, you REALLY need, to watch that movie.
Make plenty of popcorn, and enjoy. It’s a fantastic diversion from 11/8, Nov 2020, Brazil elections, bidAn/bidEn, Ukraine/Russia, etc.
it can... the airplane series, particularly one character just made it excruciatingly mundane for me... like space balls.
<>What is going on?<>
Back when humor was funny.
But signs on a flight saying “don’t panic” “OK Panic” you get?
Yes, I got that, also got everyone panicking/fighting, but was surprised suddenly to see 2 shirtless dudes wrestling or something.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.