“This fight is just getting started...”
Putin’s “Two Weeks To Flatten The Ukes” is working out every bit as well as Fauci’s.
Russian weapons systems appear to have been overrated, or maintenance has got them under-performing. Either way, that’s been a nasty kick in the crotch for Moscow.
Morale is a dogging issue, with the risk something back home might go “BANG” in the night, and change the entire game.
What Putin couldn’t accomplish in decent weather, he has less chance of accomplishing in bad weather. NOT that it CAN’T be done; just the odds get worse when you’re stuck in Ukraine in December, and the Ukes keep playing “I’m Dreaming of a White Christmas” over the battlefield all night long.
I don’t know whether or not the Ukes can pull off a “back breaker” in the next 4-6 weeks, and put this on-track to be mopped up by Spring, but they’ve shamed all the early projectile vomiting by CNN, and there’s no indication they plan to stop.
If Putin’s fight has only just begun, his main force is a couple months late to the front lines. Russian enthusiasm to stand behind him is rather lacking over at Russian recruiting offices; old Soviet-era bread lines were FAR longer.
It MIGHT work out as you say, but...there’s not much supporting evidence visible, at this point; only rafts of hearsay claiming all optimism about Ukraine is — what’s the pop pejorative these days?? — “globohomo” propaganda.
And that’s flung out there in much the same way leftists hurl jabs at Fox News, so it’s not exactly professorial in credibility. I’ve seen some longer analyses that were, at the very least, thoughtful and realistic, but nobody was making odds.
Of course, it will be winter in Ukraine, and they will be fighting Ukrainians who have lived in Ukrainian winters their whole life. Makes absolutely zero sense.