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Hurricane Ian
NHC/NOAA ^ | 23 September 2022 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: numberonepal

Manatee County? Few people to evacuate...


661 posted on 09/26/2022 5:19:14 PM PDT by mewzilla (We need to repeal RCV wherever it's in use and go back to dumb voting machines.)
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To: rodguy911

Thanks for your local update. We’re getting rather steady rain with intermittent, brief t-storms.


662 posted on 09/26/2022 5:21:27 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: Road Warrior ‘04

I’ve got some big bay windows I’m going to board up but we’re taking a risk on the others too. Hoping the skylights stay intact. Roof is only 3 years old.


663 posted on 09/26/2022 5:21:52 PM PDT by rarestia (“A nation which can prefer disgrace to danger is prepared for a master, and deserves one.” -Hamilton)
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To: CodeToad

Not good.


664 posted on 09/26/2022 5:25:18 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: mewzilla

Last I heard, Manatee County has more than 400,000 people. It has grown 30% in the past ten years. The most populous area of Manatee Co. is at the coast. The coast is where people need to evacuate.


665 posted on 09/26/2022 5:25:39 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: NautiNurse

One problem out there is water temp,lots of 88degree water, extremely warm.
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search.php?storm=at4


666 posted on 09/26/2022 5:25:54 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE!! ITS ALL A CONSPIRACY: UNTIL ITS NOT)
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To: rodguy911

Jet fuel for Ian before and after Cuba.


667 posted on 09/26/2022 5:27:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: NautiNurse

But it’s less populous than Tampa.

If the damn thing is gonna land somewhere, better fewer people at risk than more.


668 posted on 09/26/2022 5:29:44 PM PDT by mewzilla (We need to repeal RCV wherever it's in use and go back to dumb voting machines.)
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To: mewzilla

That’s why I was liking the Big Bend landfall. Now, the best case is south of Naples, but that’s real bad news for Key West. And a few more ticks to the north and east and that’s a possibility.


669 posted on 09/26/2022 5:35:14 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: NautiNurse

yeah for sure.


670 posted on 09/26/2022 5:38:10 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE!! ITS ALL A CONSPIRACY: UNTIL ITS NOT)
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To: mewzilla

Tampa is NE of coastal Manatee. There is no Tampa Beach along the GOM. Tampa is on the bay, in a bowl. St. Petersburg borders the Gulf of Mexico, west of Tampa.


671 posted on 09/26/2022 5:39:27 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: NautiNurse

Praying for everyone down there in the path of Ian.

Hopefully, the Weather Terrorists are wrong about the intensity. They do go so far overboard on TWC.

Hoping my niece and nephew in Orlando will be safe.
They’ve been hit hard a couple of times, but now there are no longer any big trees near their house!


672 posted on 09/26/2022 5:45:36 PM PDT by miserare ( Impeach Joe Biden!)
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To: NautiNurse

I just was looking at a topo map of the area.

Prayers for all in harm’s way.


673 posted on 09/26/2022 5:47:24 PM PDT by mewzilla (We need to repeal RCV wherever it's in use and go back to dumb voting machines.)
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To: NautiNurse

St Petersburg borders west Tampa Bay. St Pete Beach is on the Gulf as is Clearwater.


674 posted on 09/26/2022 5:53:43 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: numberonepal

Right. In a nutshell, Tampa’s danger is not winds from a hurricane landfall. It is storm surge in the bowl, overflowing the bay into the city.


675 posted on 09/26/2022 5:58:14 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: mewzilla
Interesting and informative stars st this link...

Facts + Statistics: Hurricanes

Check out the table on fatalities.

676 posted on 09/26/2022 6:01:51 PM PDT by mewzilla (We need to repeal RCV wherever it's in use and go back to dumb voting machines.)
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To: mewzilla

...stats...


677 posted on 09/26/2022 6:02:24 PM PDT by mewzilla (We need to repeal RCV wherever it's in use and go back to dumb voting machines.)
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To: mewzilla
Also informative, from 2019, and I can attest to this one...

Inland flooding passes storm surge as #1 killer during hurricanes Inland flooding is now #1 danger during storms

678 posted on 09/26/2022 6:04:36 PM PDT by mewzilla (We need to repeal RCV wherever it's in use and go back to dumb voting machines.)
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To: NautiNurse

Yes, Tampa Bay is very shallow. It don’t take much to flood the entire bay shore from St Pete all the way around to Apollo Beach. North Tampa Bay has many choke points. The Hillsborough River will likely run backwards.


679 posted on 09/26/2022 6:06:47 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: rodguy911
The eye is coming into view in the last frame of the Key West radar loop. Stuttering loop.

Mash image to enlarge


680 posted on 09/26/2022 6:10:37 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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