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To: HamiltonJay

Zero chance? C’mon, that’s not true. Oz isn’t a slam dunk, but at this point, he has a good chance to win. Emerson, a notoriously left-leaning poll outfit has Oz down 4. Probably means it’s dead even. Fetterman’s been all over the TV with his ads and it’s tied? Oz hasn’t even started to advertise yet.

Fetterman being sick may not help Oz, but it sure won’t hurt. I’m feeling much better about Oz’s chances than I was a month ago.


54 posted on 08/25/2022 1:13:59 PM PDT by Big E
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To: Big E

OZ is utterly off brand, he has ZERO shot at winning state wide. As a Republican to win state wide you need to have absolutely unwavering GOP turnout and support... And OZ is a non starter.

His public statements on guns being a health care issue alone make him a non starter with a good chunk of the rural voters.

If Oz were running for some purple district around Philly or NJ border parts of the state, he’d likely win pretty comfortably, but statewide? Not a chance in hell.

The parts of the state where as a Republican you must win, and win big, and have huge turnout... OZ is going to underperform historical GOP performances...... No those voters won’t vote for Fetterman, but they won’t vote for OZ.. they either will stay home.. or just leave the field blank.

Oz is utterly inauthentic, and inauthentic doesn’t sell... His main pitch, “I’m an outsider”... to which Fetterman aptly replies... Damn straight he’s an outsider, he just bought his first house in PA 8 months ago I’ve been here for 30 years (or whatever its been)....

PA is 2 very very distinct and different places.. Out in Philly/NJ Border area, its a totally different world... and out in that area, OZ will likely do well for a Republican.. but he’s not going to do well enough there to make up for how BADLY he’s going to do in the rest of the state.

He’s just completely off brand to win PA as a republican state wide. I challenge you to go watch the GOP Primary debates, and if you think after watching those performances where he clearly isn’t saying anything, being evasive and offering up focus group tested talking points, that that’s going to sell in the Post Trump Era to voters, you are in some serious denial.

Folks on this board in particular listen to too many loudmouths who have never set a foot in PA out of NYC and DC telling them how PA is... and they don’t have a clue.


55 posted on 08/25/2022 1:29:44 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Big E

“Zero chance? C’mon, that’s not true. Oz isn’t a slam dunk, but at this point, he has a good chance to win.”
***
Don’t argue with that guy. He does not care in the least if Fetterman wins.


63 posted on 08/25/2022 3:40:10 PM PDT by Dr. Scarpetta ( )
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