Posted on 03/26/2022 10:32:10 AM PDT by delta7
Our models have confirmed that Biden’s sanctions against all Russians have undeniably destroyed the global economy unfortunately precisely on time from its birth in 1950. Our capital flow models have confirmed that there has been an unprecedented cash outflow from China following Biden’s sanctions. Not only are we witnessing a withdrawal of Western capital from China realizing that the US has no interest in peace and China will be next, but we are also looking at collapsing confidence in globalization continuing from here on out.
Our models have confirmed a highly unusual change in direction of the global capital flows which is even showing up in the emerging markets. China saw investors pull out from its share markets over concerns that we are clearly headed into World War III. Historically, the capital flows to the dollar during world war under the assumption that tanks will not be landing on the beaches of Virginia or California. This will tend to support the dollar, but not long-term. Biden’s sanctions attacking individual Russians have turned into a nightmare. Besides the Czech Republic seizing ALL assets of any Russian based upon their ethnicity as they were doing to the Japanese during World War II in the United States, now even Switzerland is doing the same thing. These sanctions are not going to cause regime change and the overthrow of Putin with Russians running into the arms of the West. This is outright hatred of Russians as a people and they will have no choice but bond with China in an all-out war against this outrageous tyranny. I seriously doubt that Biden even understands what he is doing at the directions of these Neocons who have infiltrated the White House.
These Neocons are bringing the entire world to destruction which some argue is all part of their plan to enable the world to BUILD BACK BETTER which necessitates the destruction of the current energy system and reduction of population to make Bill Gates sleep easy at night. So the next season of BUILD BACK BETTER may be the climax. Our model has ALWAYS picked up the shifts in capital flows that precede war. This time we are witnessing outflows not just from China, but also from ALL emerging markets on a scale that is simply unprecedented. The timing of outflows is clearly linked to Biden’s unprecedented sanctions against the Russian people – not just Russia itself as a political state. This has NEVER taken place in history before with the single exception of the US sanctions imposed on Japan and the freezing of all their assets in the United States which preceded Pearl Harbor. It pains me to have to even write this today. But clearly, those who understand where this is going is to World War III and make no mistake about it – this is INTENTIONAL! Even the official data has revealed that foreign investors have sold a net $5.5 billion of Chinese government bonds in the last few weeks. Biden stupidly threatened China that if they support Russia, they will suffer the same sanctions. This is just insane and it is DELIBERATELY trying to destroy the entire world economy. Even from NATO, Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said at a press conference on March 24, “China must not provide economic or military support for the Russian invasion.” The previous day he accused Beijing of spreading “blatant lies and misinformation.” What they are calling “misinformation” is anything that challenges the West’s own propaganda. They want WAR for the demands of Putin are reasonable – Ukraine remains neutral, surrender Donbas and Crimea which are all ethnic Russians when Zelensky passed the language law that Russian is no longer to be an official language in Ukraine. That is the same as telling all Spanish if you do not speak English – get out. All we can do is write to every political leader and DEMAND accountability for the Biden Administration is out to BUILD BACK BETTER, but that requires total destruction first.
The Gulf States and Israel are also forming an alliance.
Biden reversed the designation of Houthi as terrorists, they have been attacking SA oil production. They are backed by Iran, the enemy of all, but whom Biden is in negotiations with, VIA RUSSIA. The Muslim Brotherhood is the democrats fave but not with the Gulf States.
SA and EAU won’t even answer Biden’s calls.
SDR’s are a western banking instrument, their is a whole world out there.
I see a couple of things left out of such analysis and wonder how much they might effect their predictions:
-The emergence of Xi, his Ethnocentric, Hobbesian outlook and his aggressively expansionist Belt and Road Agenda. People aren’t factoring this.
-China’s growing influence is part of what’s driving Putin actions— to reconstitute as much of the original extent of the former Soviet Union as possible. This is as much a political matter as it is an economic one, perhaps more.
—I can’t recall a time when Russia and China maintained any long-term relationship; it seems they have only cooperated against an outside threat, never on any shared goals, interests or ideologies. Neither Xi nor Vlad intends to be subject to the other, which means long term cooperation is nigh impossible. Their cooperation conceals the adversarial character of the relationship.
A strong Russia would keep China in check without requiring our assistance or agreement. We might be letting an opportunity to have a bulwark against the Han China slip by.
last I looked the 10 yr would take 3 basis-point just to break even with inflation. Who will want to invest in that?
The Gulf States and Israel are also forming an alliance.
Biden reversed the designation of Houthi as terrorists, they have been attacking SA oil production. They are backed by Iran, the enemy of all, but whom Biden is in negotiations with, VIA RUSSIA. The Muslim Brotherhood is the democrats fave but not with the Gulf States.
SA and EAU won’t even answer Biden’s calls.
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You forgot to mention the Sauds will now accept Yuan for oil. A game changer….a far cry from when I worked in the Kingdom.
That’s right.
One of the best things Trump did was get all those countries to realize they can take care of their own neighborhood.
Isn’t it under the IMF? I guess that’s Western. What I was getting at is there will be a new reserve currency, could possib,possibly, be based on gold? I don’t see a single country currency being it.
What do you think?
Senile Joe and all the Ukie war cheerleaders backing the sanctions ( decimating global trade) have no idea what our resident vegetable head just did. Question is, did he know it would destroy the current world financial markets / dethrone the USD or did he just make the worlds largest blunder?
Bttt
What I was getting at is there will be a new reserve currency, could possib,possibly, be based on gold?
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The Chinese Yuan is “ rumored” to announce their digital currency will be backed by gold. Why else did they just open 80 branches in Russia, and are paying 8 percent. Vlad also announced their reserve currency will be the Yuan.
Financial WW3 has started, the China/ Russia/ India ( more than half the world’s population) alliance appears to be winning. The USD has been dethroned.
If the Saudis and the Gulf States join with China/Russia/India to end the petrodollar it is game/set/match—imports of everything will get crazy expensive.
“has tumbled 11% from its peak”
2009 long bonds fell 15 percent.
2013 long bonds fell 13 percent.
1980-81, bonds dropped 21 percent.
And stating an absolute amount as some new unprecedented loss is somewhat silly. As economies keep growing and getting bigger and bigger, of course 11% of a 2022 market will be a bigger total dollar amount than an 11% of some market 5 or 10 or 20 years ago.
Thanks. I don’t know if I’d trust the CCP, but I guess now the US isn’t trusted.
I’m old enough to remember when we were told that people felt safe with the dollar because we had laws that protected private assets and investments.
Sorry, yes, the next reserve currency will be backed by gold. China has amassed over the decade ( by some figures ) more than the US stated gold reserves. Five years ago they promoted gold ownership with their citizens, they can go into Chinese banks and buy / sell gold- can’t do that in the US or western nations…( Switzerland an exception). That information was confirmed by a Chinese banker trader whom I know, he relayed that info to me as he thought it strange( he went to Harvard business school then left the US to work for a Chinese bank). Everything he learned at Harvard did him no good working in the Chinese banking industry. Chinese Yuan will become the next reserve currency, not imminent, as the Fed will fight it desperately, but it will happen. Looking at our current financial turmoil guarantees it.
“...and reduction of population to make Bill Gates sleep easy at night.”
How does Gates get rid of three million gallons of sewage pumped into his doomsday shelter?
I’m old enough to remember when we were told that people felt safe with the dollar because we had laws that protected private assets and investments.
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Exactly. Read the Indian Finance Minister’s comments, the US has frozen ( stole) and confiscated private funds,( Russian) a very big no no in the financial industry, they can no longer be trusted. Nations all over the world have taken notice and will act.
You have to know where it is and have the means
“Our capital flow models have confirmed that there has been an unprecedented cash outflow from China following Biden’s sanctions.”
Private equity firms have been leaving China in droves since 2011. They’ve set up operations in SE Asia and India.
The fun really starts when the worldwide gold Ponzi scheme starts to unravel.
There are way more claims on gold than there is gold.
That is one reason I am skeptical that gold can hold the international financial order together—the lying is just too wide and deep—at some point the music will stop and a lot of folks will not have a chair.
The dollar is near a 20 year high. What currency do you see replacing the USD as the global reserve in the next 50 years?
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