Early voting breakdown by CD. 8 and 11 are liberal NoVa Districts. Much higher VBM there.
Dist In Pers Mail % Mail
1 95491 28214 22.81%
2 70085 24659 26.03%
3 56626 22810 28.71%
4 88224 22745 20.50%
5 77275 22768 22.76%
6 74104 20881 21.98%
7 97009 30936 24.18%
8 78672 39558 33.46%
9 56378 15290 21.33%
10 95637 37194 28.00%
11 69216 37996 35.44%
CD-7 and CD-2 are swing districts. Seats currently occupied by Dems.
Low early vote turnout in VA-3 (Richmond - majority minority district). Bad for McAwful.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virginia%27s_congressional_districts
Dist 7 was won by Dem (Spanberger) in 2020 by 10K votes. District 2 (Luria) was won by 20K. Both districts could deliver large number of Youngkin votes.