Posted on 10/26/2021 9:04:07 AM PDT by TexasGurl24
The latest Emerson College/Nexstar Media poll of the Virginia gubernatorial race finds Republican Glenn Youngkin and Democrat Terry McAuliffe tied, 48% to 48%. One percent of voters (1%) are voting for Princess Blanding, and 3% are undecided. When those undecided voters are allocated towards who they are leaning towards, both candidates are at 49%, and Blanding is at 2%.
(Excerpt) Read more at emersonpolling.reportablenews.com ...
McAuliffe - %51%
Youngkin - 49%
Why vote then, according to your philosophy.
Just hunker down and bunker down in your house and wait for the revolution?
What’s the difference between a gloom-and-doom liberal and a gloom-and-doom conservative?
LOL! The Loon Wood “IZ NOTAA VOTINGZ NO MOARH!” has become the trademarked battle cry of the delusional children who think vote counting is handled by servers in Germany and beamed through Italian satellites.
No doubt anti parent comments have hurt him, but too cynical here…
Fraud will make sure he wins no matter what
You do realize that the “ITZ ALL RIGGED!!!” “NEVEA VOTINZ AAINZ” is a textbook Qtard meme right?
Mail in ballots are WAY down from 2020. All early voting has dropped off 63% from 2020.
Fairfax has already announced it is going to post early voting results first rather than last like it did in 2020.
These Virginia polls always show the democrat ahead by six to eight points and then on election day they win by two or three.
If they are even, that can only mean one thing.
The Republican will win and it won’t be a nail-biter. 6 to 8 point margin. Black voters are not showing up, and white progressives in NOVA are dispirited over Biden’s failure to get anything passed. This race is Maryland 2014 all over again, when fat-bastard Hogan won by 5 to 6 points. Virginia is redder than Maryland, so the spread will be 6 to 8 points.
The only thing public polls are good for is showing a trend. The trend is that Youngkin is gaining support every week. The better “polls” are internal polls. We don’t know what the internal poll numbers are, but you can pretty much guess because McAuliffe is running like he is behind and Youngkin is running like he is ahead.
Correct. In Virginia, the Democrat has only run ahead of the polling averages on two occasions.
Biden ran several points below the polling average in 2020.
I hope you are correct.
I think this will be a tight race. I would be surprised by a 5 point win in either direction.
You are right about shades of 2014 though.
Only 1 poll had Hogan winning in 2014.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/governor/md/maryland_governor_hogan_vs_brown-5098.html
It worked in 2020. No "Fox News hosts/contributors" have ever said anything (except Lou Dobbs and Trish Regan, then they got fired), why quit now?
The only reason IMHO that many see this as a close race is because public polls say its a close race. But even the public polls don’t really say its that close when you consider these polls in depth. First, at 48% to 48%, that means 4% are “undecided.” But the Democrat was previously a governor, so everybody knows him. These undecideds will break 4 to 1 towards Youngkin. Second, Youngkin leads among older voters, while McAuliffie leads among younger voters. The problem for the Democrat is that older voters will definitely vote, whereas younger voters are iffy, even if they claim they will 100% show up to the polls. Third, the poll is weighted based on previous midterm elections. The last midterm, with Trump on the ballot, brought out Democrats in droves. There is no evidence in VA that Blacks, young women, young progressives are dying to show up to vote.
I’ve managed and consulted on many campaigns. Ignore the public polls and watch how the candidates are campaigning. Youngkin is positive, McAuliffe is negative. Youngkin sounds like he is winning, and McAuliffe sounds like he is down. The Democrats know their base is dispirited and tired. I would be shocked if this race is within 6 points. Younkin by 6 to 8 points, and the Republicans take back the H of Delegates.
The Dems already have their apparatus set up in Fairfax, Alexandria, Richmond, etc. These cities control a sufficiently large chunk of the state’s population to make cheating there concealable (and they have likely had lots of practice). Dems also are rounding up votes at churches, probably in nursing homes, etc. The neck and neck polling is designed to take the stink out of a Dem “victory”.
What are these pollsters reporting as their turn-out model? Off-year elections usually have mediocre turnout, so there will be lots of room for “assigning” votes.
Are Youngkin observers positioed to catch NoVA in the act?
Fixed it!
Relax...
It will most certainly be a Soros finish...
Tractor trailers will be at all the churches and schools loading up with the pre-printed & pre-filled out ballots for distribution after the polls close...
Youngkin campaign has mobilized military vets in Virginia to be poll workers and poll watchers. Scott Pressler also coordinating GOTV and other election related work. He’s working non-stop to change a few blue precincts in Richmond and tidewater area red. The Loudoun CRT / transgender rape in bathroom school issue is huge. All the students in LCPS high schools walked out yesterday. My deep blue DC beltway sewer rat neighborhood has very few mcauliffe signs and a few youngkin signs - so the mcauliffe peeps are certainly not advertising their support as they did for creepy Joe.
I really hope you are correct. We are in seriously dire straits in the old Dominion between legalizing baby killing, red flag gun laws, covid mandates. Anti-American Marxism, CRT and lgbtq and transgendered teens, pornography in schools etc. etc.
I don’t get it-—gas prices through the roof, 8.9% inflation, bare shelves, skyrocketing crime, massive spending, tax hikes, forced mandates-—and 50% aren’t convinced that the Democrats suck? Yet Biden is at 36% approval-—something is not right.
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